Stats websites:
Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k4.com
Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com
Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html
Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html
Stats topics:
Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html
Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)
2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.
Spring 2004 Pre-Season:
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason2.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason3.htm
Spring 2004 Contest:
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats2.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats3.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats4.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats5.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats6.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats7.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats8.htm
MMXcalibur's Prophet Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/
!yawA tsoP
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Winner of the Spring 2004 'Best. Game. Ever.' Contest
*Married to smitelf on 5/21/04* ++SCC GOD++
Talk about the strength gained by Sora?
Possible strength, maybe?
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"If I had a kid, I'd name him Isosceles!" ~ Kramer
Pick: Dante vs. Ratchet. Vote: Ratchet. 22/27/192
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See my writings at http://www.alexkaulfuss.com as the GrandioseGadfly
Fujin is the greatest character ever conceived by man.
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Current Pick: Sora; Current Vote: Sora; Points: 27/28
Henshin a bye-bye, my perfect bracket.
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Man is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
(No, I refuse to say Jill; she won't win.)
But that was my match I kept changing...... hardest for me tto decide in the enitre tournament that match was.
But so far, as it seems, the impossible 4-some to predict of Sora, HK, Ryu, and Jill is pretty easy......
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"If I had a kid, I'd name him Isosceles!" ~ Kramer
Pick: Dante vs. Ratchet. Vote: Ratchet. 22/27/192
Zombies and/or Ninjas >>>> fighting the 'darkness' (when it gets dark outside, I cry to myself sometime - Sora)
If only they could team up. Resident Ninja. The best of two worlds, Zombies and Ninjas.
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http://ffxi.allakhazam.com/profile.xml?15248 - FFXI character
SOCOM 2: Kaidyn
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"Oh my God, the dead have risen and they're voting Republican!" - Bart Simpson
One would figure there would be marginally decreasing returns for tag teams, as compared to the extrapolated standings. For instance, if two guys are expected to get roughly 24% each on Link, then it makes no sense for them combined to get more than 48% on a team with Link in it. (this is assuming that there is no way a tag team partner can weaken a character--which is almost certainly true) Logically speaking, a team cannot be greater than the sum of its parts--and on occassion might be far, far less.
So I think a tag team tourney would be all about diverse fanbases. Bring in characters with strong and diverst support bases, and you have an uber team, because that is the team that can come closest to additive popularity, rather than a popularity function that is less than the sum of its parts.
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Data for all matches - http://sc2k4.com/displaytable.php
SC2K4.com/Frog
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Summer 2004 Contest 24/28 Sora vs. HK-47
If losing means not winning prizes then dropping 3 points is about as big of a hit as you can take before you are done for. That's half your mistakes right there, assuming we don't do significantly better than the previous contests.
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True love is a fairy tale. I'm damaged, so how would I know? - Plummet: Damaged
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
For instance, a team of Tidus+Shadow might very well defeat a team of Cloud+Sephiroth. (Cloud and Sephiroth are basically even in strength, and wouldn't have SFF in their match...but they still clearly share large portions of their fanbases)
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Data for all matches - http://sc2k4.com/displaytable.php
SC2K4.com/Frog
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
Proof?
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True love is a fairy tale. I'm damaged, so how would I know? - Plummet: Damaged
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Summer 2004 Contest 24/28 Sora vs. HK-47
6 under is still competitive. But losing 3 from backing the wrong pony is bad. That means even a single mistake in round 3 puts you at your threshold and may veyr well eliminate you from prizes... assuming that you only picked Jill and Mario and lost those 7 points you're fairly good... but if you picked Joe as well you may very well be done for.
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True love is a fairy tale. I'm damaged, so how would I know? - Plummet: Damaged
Personally, I say we go back to 2002's level of randomness. Make Mario a 1 seed for no good reason. Make Pac Man a 3 seed for no good reason. Have one division filled with a bunch of losers, but with someone like Zero as the 4 or 5 seed on one side, and someone like Shadow the Hedgehog as the 2 seed on the other. You don't need tag teams, threesomes, and 47 Square/Nintendo characters to make a good bracket. You just need to make a bracket free of any and all past influence. Yes, we all know that Cloud would likely rip Tidus a new one in a poll. Who cares? Have Tidus be the 1 seed, Auron be the 2, and Cloud be the 3. Blame the fact that FFX was mroe recent than FF7 or something. It'll be great XD
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Winner of the Spring 2004 'Best. Game. Ever.' Contest
*Married to smitelf on 5/21/04* ++SCC GOD++
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
That is interesting but I don't think it is always as reliable as Chichiri's method which involves looking at the total vote count for matches invloving the tag-team characters and basing the winner off that. Pretty much see his method in the last topic, he explains it much better then I ever could.
For instance, a team of Tidus+Shadow might very well defeat a team of Cloud+Sephiroth. (Cloud and Sephiroth are basically even in strength, and wouldn't have SFF in their match...but they still clearly share large portions of their fanbases)
That would be great, seeing Cloud + Seph lose to Tidus and Shadow. I'd be ecstatic. The team that would never lose is Cloud/Link.
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Man is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
Again, where is the PROOF? This is specualtion based only on the simplest and also least descriptive information. I've already provided believable reason why they wouldn't drop and you can't dispute what I've brough to the table without using even more inconclussive evidence. Frankly, the 2k3 numbers are far from perfect, and they are likely riddled with almost as much SFF as this year's bracket will be.
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True love is a fairy tale. I'm damaged, so how would I know? - Plummet: Damaged
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Summer 2004 Contest 24/28 Sora vs. HK-47
And should have increased... though I forgot to say it.
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True love is a fairy tale. I'm damaged, so how would I know? - Plummet: Damaged
I agree. I think I'll make a list of all the SC competitors and AIM roll up a full bracket like we do on Rolling Night. I can't wait to see what comes up.
Gordon Freeman as a 1 seed against Kefka? Mario vs. Crono in Round 1? Alucard up against Aeris to complete the hat trick?
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The race to revitalize Figaro Desert is on! Find out how at www.rpgdl.com
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Man is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
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Summer 2004 Contest 24/28 Sora vs. HK-47
Tanner vs. Gordon Freeman:
A true test of GFNW!!! ^_~
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M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
Bring me solid proof it didn't? First, you are assuming Link/Mario didn't because Mario was almost unchanged in relation to Link... you forget to account for any possible Cloud/Seph SFF. Then you assume Link is unchanged so Samus's performance looks right. You assume far too much without a control sample and frankly Auron, Tails, Ness, and Kefka are all counter to you previous beliefs. They show flaws, and they show that the entire system may very well be flawed for assuming there is no SFF when you have nothing to compare it to other than another SFF riddled bracket.
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True love is a fairy tale. I'm damaged, so how would I know? - Plummet: Damaged
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
I'm surprised, actually. Jill should be winning... :o
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>Critical Mass has not been reached.
>More SephirothxCloud fics please.
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M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
Uh...the fact that Cloud vs. Sephiroth went just about *exactly* as expected using a myriad of previous matches?
This isn't an Auron vs. Cloud type thing--we basically know for certain there was no SFF there, because everything works out similarly according to multiple matches.
This is pretty much an open and shut thing. I hammered people over the head with the idea that there would be no SFF in Cloud vs. Sephiroth, and that Cloud would almost certainly win with 51%-53%, before the match took place.
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Data for all matches - http://sc2k4.com/displaytable.php
SC2K4.com/Frog
DIVISION ONE - EIGHT TEAMS
Cloud Strife / Knuckles
VS
Fodder (below Isaac/Duke level)
--
Kirby / Felix (or SC2K4 replacement at similar level)
VS
Bomberman / Fox
--
Tidus / Shadow
VS
Frog / Liquid Snake
--
Mario / Auron
VS
Fodder
--
DIVISION 2
Mega Man / Dante
VS
Fodder
--
Master Chief / Scorpion
VS
Lara Croft / Raziel
--
Magus / Squall
VS
Fodder
--
Snake / Bowser
VS
Fodder
--
DIVISION THREE
Link / Yoshi
VS
Fodder
--
Jill Valentine / Donkey Kong
VS
Sam Fisher / Ramza
--
Ganondorf / Zero
VS
Yuna / Sora
--
Crono / Zelda
VS
Fodder
--
DIVISION FOUR
Sephiroth / Alucard
VS
Fodder
--
Tommy Vercetti / Luigi
VS
KOS-MOS / Tails
--
Sonic / Aeris
VS
Isaac / Duke
--
Samus / Ryu
VS
Fodder
--
Personally, I love it.
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The fact that Frog isn't voiced by Cam Clarke should be worth an automatic one-hundred vote penalty, dammit..
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M-me? Queen ***** of the Universe?
This is the happiest day of my life. ~ smitelf
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The fact that Frog isn't voiced by Cam Clarke should be worth an automatic one-hundred vote penalty, dammit..
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>Critical Mass has not been reached.
>More SephirothxCloud fics please.
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
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Data for all matches - http://sc2k4.com/displaytable.php
SC2K4.com/Frog
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The fact that Frog isn't voiced by Cam Clarke should be worth an automatic one-hundred vote penalty, dammit..
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
What's the matta?
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>Critical Mass has not been reached.
>More SephirothxCloud fics please.
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The fact that Frog isn't voiced by Cam Clarke should be worth an automatic one-hundred vote penalty, dammit..
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
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Summer 2004 Contest 25/29 Jill vs. Ryu H.
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>Critical Mass has not been reached.
>More SephirothxCloud fics please.
Yeah, I heard that said a lot... not, I know what message you are trying to deliver, but read that very closely one more time. It says, when taken out of context, we knew there was no SFF between Auron and Cloud... and I have heard many, many a time one person or another say exactly that. Maybe you yourself had once said we know that there is no SFF between Auron and Cloud. The same of Crono/Kefka, right? We KNEW that the SFF was minimal at best. Both prooved that "we" knew jack ****, didn't they? You are comparing the results of 2k3 based on the results of 2k2. 2k2 was flawed, so is 2k3. Bring me a contest without any SFF matches ever and then we will have a control bracket to see if we actually know anything at all.
Fact of the matter is we don't know much at all. We know what has happened in the past, and many of those results are skewed. We don't have a vantage point from which to look at the subject that is completely untainted. If you're such a stat-head you must have some semblance of a scientist in you, and any scientist worth his hat isn't going to declare something as fact when he hasn't got any sort of untainted data to work with. People who do make mistakes like believing the world is flat or that Auron faced no SFF against Cloud.
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True love is a fairy tale. I'm damaged, so how would I know? - Plummet: Damaged
Jill Valentine 47.97% 236
TOTAL VOTES 492
This match is far from over.
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Did you know A LONG LONG time ago in the days of the mayans people used to live for more than 500 years? Some, even, FOR ETERNITY-Jax1298