Stats websites:
Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k4.com
Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com
Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html
Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html
Stats topics:
Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html
Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)
2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.
Spring 2004 Pre-Season:
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason2.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason3.htm
Spring 2004 Contest:
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats2.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats3.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats4.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats5.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats6.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats7.htm
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats8.htm
MMXcalibur's Prophet Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/
!yawA tsoP
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Winner of the Spring 2004 'Best. Game. Ever.' Contest
*Married to smitelf on 5/21/04* ++SCC GOD++
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You will never be able to guess who I-- aw screw it. I'm Steal This Account.
...Go Ratchet!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
2nd Round: (5)Kirby
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Current Pick: Joe; Current Vote: Joe; Points: 26/26
Henshin a bye-bye, my perfect bracket.
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Did you know A LONG LONG time ago in the days of the mayans people used to live for more than 500 years? Some, even, FOR ETERNITY-Jax1298
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Not all those who wander are lost...
There is no god, and the cage wasn't 30 feet. - CM Punk
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Tommy vs. Max - http://www.stripcreator.com/comics/Moltar
Joe vs. Tails - Bracket: Joe - Vote: Joe (25/26)
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"The black wind begins to blow... Ok, give me your best shot... If you're prepared for the void!"
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See my writings at http://www.alexkaulfuss.com as the GrandioseGadfly
Fujin is the greatest character ever conceived by man.
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Hmph.
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire.
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire.
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire.
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=15839983
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I GOTTA HAVE MORE COWBELL; Contest: 25/27
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
I do, but I have my reasons
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Summer 2004 Contest 23/27 Dante vs. Ratchet
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
2nd Round: (5)Kirby
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Man is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire.
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Man is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
I'm pullin' for Dante to stay above 80%. =p Hopefully he does so once we hit night.
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
2nd Round: (5)Kirby
I never expected any perfects this year. As much as I wanted my bracket to do it I jsut couldn't see half a dozren perfects.
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True love is a fairy tale. I'm damaged, so how would I know? - Plummet: Damaged
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"I just wanna protect the people I'm with. Doesn't matter whether I can or not. It's what I believe in."
-Zidane (Final Fantasy IX)
Yes, I am predicting what will be the biggest upset of this contest, and will ultimately result in the winner of the four-pack including the deceptively easy to call Sora vs. HK-47 match (no analysis is necessary to call a Sora victory).
I’ve seen this match hailed as everything from “easy to predict” to a “coin-flip” to a “bracket buster.” What most people don’t see is that a 3 vs. 14 match can result in an upset, and I genuinely believe it will. I know I’m going to take tons of flak for this prediction, and although I am not 100% confident in the pick, I am more comfortable going with Jill as opposed to Ryu. I may be slightly biased because my Jill over Ryu pick is my bracket make-or-break gamble (based on UltimaterializerX’s idea that you have to take a gamble or two to break free of the pack and win the contest: his picks of Starcraft over Halo and SSBM over FFX and Wind Waker gained him the title of “Winner of the 2004 Spring Contest” as well as many free games). However, I do believe that this will be the match that decides the contest. If Jill wins, almost all the perfect brackets will fall and will create some headway for others to move up. If Jill wins this match: I guarantee I will finish in the top 50, if not win the contest. Anyways, enough about me, match analysis time.
The first piece of evidence that I shall provide is in regards to the seeding. Ryu Hayabusa is horribly overseeded. This is a primarily X-Box character (disregarding the early Ninja Gaiden titles) up against a staple of Playstation and Nintendo gaming: Jill Valentine of Resident Evil. Why do I disregard the early Ninja Gaiden titles? Because the vast majority of people voting in this poll are not old enough to have played those titles. How in the world did Ryu get a 3 seed? As much as I do not like to make this argument, I believe having his name on the nomination page got him a substantial chunk of nominations that he would have otherwise not gotten. Ryu would not nearly be as favored if there were no seeds on this match. 3/14 is deceptive. Without his name on the nomination page, I doubt Ryu Hayabusa could have cracked an 8 seed. I really don’t. Secondly, if the seeds were reversed and Jill was the 3 seed and Ryu was the 14 seed, he would not nearly be as favored. Seeds mean nothing, and if you can’t switch the seeds and come up with the same result, odds are you may have an upset on your hands.
You may be tempted to cry “Look! Ninja Gaiden is way up on the FAQ page for X-Box!” Okay.. how many decent games are there for X-Box? Pokemon is high on the GameBoy FAQ page too.
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I GOTTA HAVE MORE COWBELL; Contest: 25/27
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
GO RATCHET!
GO RATCHET!
Anything that makes Sonic look good is a veeeeery good thing.
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Well, when the parents are away... brother and sister can play..
This match isn't one that will determine whether or not we have perfect brackets. There are plenty of matches that could change that.
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SC2k4 Winner: Mega Man
Ken Masters; the fighting king clothed in blazing fire.
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Not all those who wander are lost...
There is no god, and the cage wasn't 30 feet. - CM Punk
Second, contest history. Jill Valentine beat Kirby two years ago?! That’s some potential right there. Yes, I know, it’s been two years, and a lot can change in two years (including a marked decrease in Jill’s popularity: see http://sc2k4.com for more details). This enough to prove that at least she is not typical first round fodder (see: CATS, Crash Bandicoot). The fact of the matter is, she didn’t exactly do poorly in last year’s contest either. She faced Squall first round and managed to pull down 40% of the vote against a popular Final Fantasy character. That’s no small feat. You may disregard 40% as not enough of the vote to consider it close, but look at Squall’s next opponent: Luigi, who pulled down LESS THAN 40% of the vote against Squall.
Squall vs. Jill: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1309
Squall vs. Luigi: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1339
Jill got a higher % of the vote against Squall than Luigi did. If Jill can pull down a higher % of the vote against Squall than Luigi, I believe that it’s safe to loosely connect the two of them in terms of popularity. This is not a concrete connection, but let’s just say Ryu Hayabusa got paired up in a match against a 14-seeded Luigi. Luigi would win that match quite easily. I don’t see why Luigi and Jill Valentine can not be loosely connected in terms of popularity, but if you think you can explain why I am wrong, do so.
Another thing: look at the polls for each system for most anticipated upcoming game. Gamecube poll:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1698
No, your eyes are not deceiving you: Resident Evil’s upcoming game is more anticipated than Metroid Prime 2: Echoes and is second only to the new Legend of Zelda title. It’s more anticipated than Paper Mario 2 and Star Fox 2. Resident Evil’s popularity on this site is extremely underrated.
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I GOTTA HAVE MORE COWBELL; Contest: 25/27
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
The guy with Vivi would be even better.
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Man is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
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My life retain'eth its meaning!
Next up on the menu: Master Chief.
I also hate to use this argument because I’ve argued against it before, but Resident Evil has greatly outsold the Ninja Gaiden series. I’m not arguing that sales = popularity, because I argued against that in the Ness vs. Jak match. What sales does though, is it creates recognizability. As I pointed out above, recognizability will get a chunk of casual voters, and in a close match like this, it will decide the outcome. Since Ryu doesn’t have a popular cameo (as Ness did in SSBM, or as Cloud and Sephiroth do in Kingdom Hearts), he won’t get the benefit of a casual vote from those cameos.
Even though the newest Ninja Gaiden title was successful, it is not as recognizable as the Resident Evil series or its characters. The percentage of voters who will have played Resident Evil will be higher than the percentage of voters who have played Ninja Gaiden, ESPECIALLY on this site. The final nail in the coffin for Ninja Gaiden is that it’s on X-Box. The X-Box hate on this RPG-dominated site, while overrated, is still somewhat existant, and in a close match like this one, will make a difference. Arguably the X-Box’s two strongest games: Halo and Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic were both bounced in the first round of the Spring Contest. Master Chief was beaten in the second round last year after barely squeaking a win over Fenix. A 3 seed almost lost to a 14 seed last year, and it will happen this year. This year, a good chunk of people thought Crash would beat Master Chief in the first round(about 30%). Where’s the respect for the 3 seed there? Where is the support for the X-Box flagship character there? Master Chief would wipe the floor with Ryu Hayabusa, there’s no doubt in my mind. Now take a look at extrapolated rankings regarding Master Chief and Jill Valentine from 2003 (courtesy of http://sc2k4.com) :
26 Master Chief 26.15% expected against Link
28 Jill Valentine 25.38% expected against Link
Closely ranked. Undoubtably, Master Chief is better supported than Ryu will be. If Master Chief is even a fraction a percent better supported than Ryu Hayabusa (which is almost a given), let’s shuffle around the standings. Drop Master Chief a few places and you’ll see where he is ranked even with, if not below, Jill.
If the X-Box flagship character from Halo doesn’t get respect in this contest, where is the respect going to come from for Ryu Hayabusa in this match?
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I GOTTA HAVE MORE COWBELL; Contest: 25/27
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
2nd Round: (5)Kirby
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I GOTTA HAVE MORE COWBELL; Contest: 25/27
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
Ahem...Prove it.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
2nd Round: (5)Kirby
I'm very hesitant to believe that DoA is going to make any sort of difference.
I'm positive the NES Ninja Gaidens will not. Anyone who played those probably played the new Ninja Gaiden and was voting for Ryu already. The casual voter doesn't know who Ryu Hayabusa is. Most of the people voting in this poll are not old enough to have played the NES Ninja Gaidens.
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I GOTTA HAVE MORE COWBELL; Contest: 25/27
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
I was just in the middle of making a post about where I expect to lose them, but then I rememberes you have Megaman winning so it was a waste of time. I'll give ya this, if Megaman does make up that 13% on Cloud and wins, I bet there won't be any perfects.
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Man is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
Other than the fact that Hayabusa has other sources besides the XBox to draw support from.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
2nd Round: (5)Kirby
No. Not even a little bit.
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
Ahem...Prove it.
Luigi would beat Ryu until his face turned blue. Seriously, you can't honestly think an obscure X-Box character is going to take down Luigi without being on some kind of drugs.
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I GOTTA HAVE MORE COWBELL; Contest: 25/27
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
I'm more shocked that only 60% had it over MGS2, and 20% had it win the 4-pack. It was always a lock to win that for me.
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Man is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness from which he emerges and the infinity in which he is engulfed. -Blaise Pascal
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
The NES Ninja Gaidens barely matter at all. Who has played the NES Ninja Gaidens that did not play the X-Box version? Very few people.
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I GOTTA HAVE MORE COWBELL; Contest: 25/27
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
Since when is one of the higher selling XBox games with other sources to draw from "obscure"? What? Never? That's what I thought.
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
Whoa, I think I've just been transported back to 2003.
"Seriously, you can't honestly think that a hated Final Fantasy VIII is going to take down Luigi without being on some kind of drugs."
Again, I'll say this: Prove it.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
2nd Round: (5)Kirby
Or as right as I was on Starcraft/Halo, Starcraft/Kingdom Hearts, and StarCraft/Wind Waker.
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I GOTTA HAVE MORE COWBELL; Contest: 25/27
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
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The topic is dead. Not the kind of dead that can be cured with a Phoenix Down. I'm talking FMV sequence dead.- The King in Teal
I know that. But after this:
"I meant to say from the BradyGames strategy guide. If you have it, you can tell. CJayC even used Cloud's name graphic from that strategy guide."
I just felt like mentioning that that artwork wasn't the strategy guide's artwork.
Yeah, of course. The strategy guide was just the first place I saw the artwork.
And about the whole in-game vs. in-battle thing (I'll shorten it since the topic closed before I could post), of course I like the in-battle pic better. But looking at Samus, Bowser, and Snake, I want to see what type of opinion the in-field pic would bring. Those pics would have been more fun for the board. I remember the first time we saw the Snake sprite, a lot of the board was saying "What....is....that?"
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"There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Summer Championship
2nd Round: (5)Kirby
It did say FF8, I believe.
Ninja Gaiden =/= Final Fantasy
Please, prove me wrong on that.
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I GOTTA HAVE MORE COWBELL; Contest: 25/27
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso