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Summer 2003 Contest
Stats & Discussion -- Summer 2003 Contest -- Mark III
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From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/8/2003 8:43:35 AM | Message Detail
Honestly, I think only one newcomer deserves a 6-seed or higher. Take a guess...
---
If Kefka were governor of California, he'd kill half the population to solve the power problem, then 98% of what's left for the hell of it. -GoldManiac
From: Cthulhu | Posted: 9/9/2003 1:26:29 AM | Message Detail
Mr Resetti of course
From: chaos knight | Posted: 9/9/2003 2:42:52 AM | Message Detail
Zero or Shadow?
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Chaos Knight-Cerebral Insomniac of the CoS
From: Heroic Ramza | Posted: 9/9/2003 2:46:05 AM | Message Detail
well... both zero and magus deserve around that I think.
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"A small stone may only make a small ripple at first but some day, it will be a wave."~Wiegraf
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/9/2003 5:07:32 AM | Message Detail
I meant one who wasn't there in 2002 AND 2003.

Why, it's

.

.

.

.

.

.

FROG OF COURSE!
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If Kefka were governor of California, he'd kill half the population to solve the power problem, then 98% of what's left for the hell of it. -GoldManiac
From: steve illumina | Posted: 9/9/2003 7:47:47 AM | Message Detail
Indeed it is so...Frog, who will be here next year and win at least 1 match...the lovable amphibian...Frog...he has my nomination already. But then so does Sigma, Dr. Wily, Sweet Tooth, Rayne, and Vivi!
---
Trivia 9: Go Cheese Strikes Back!
NFL Week 2: Dolphins over NY Jets by 7
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/9/2003 9:47:12 AM | Message Detail
On a side note, it's funny how Magus was the heavy CT favorite here last year, then Magus gets in... and all of a sudden the people favor Frog, who might get a spot next year. Is it some sort of evil plan to get the entire CT cast in?
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If Kefka were governor of California, he'd kill half the population to solve the power problem, then 98% of what's left for the hell of it. -GoldManiac
From: Cthulhu | Posted: 9/9/2003 11:22:33 AM | Message Detail
Next you guys should nominate Ayla, she's hot and she's a cavewoman. That means she's never heard of birth control and riding bareback is perfectly normal
From: steve illumina | Posted: 9/9/2003 1:38:43 PM | Message Detail
Crono is a nobody in my book..a bland generic Square hero...all the supporting cast is cooler, better designed, better theme music, etc. Frog and Magus especially, but even Robo too beats that lame spiky haired katana wielder so many peeps look up to as some sort of faded icon searching for lost glory.

---
Trivia 9: Go Cheese Strikes Back!
NFL Week 2: Dolphins over NY Jets by 7
From: Who Cares? | Posted: 9/9/2003 4:09:02 PM | Message Detail
Finally bought myself enough time to post. Basically, this post is in response to kawaiifan's great idea for the contest format. And I myself really like the 5th Option (the one with the byes), & wanted to input on how I'd modify the original idea (Cuz I think 3 or 4 byes is little too extreme). Now while the traditional format was great for the first two years, I doubt the same excitement can be generated under the same format now that we know who's good & who isn't. So here's what I'd do with the original concept.

*Characters seeded 1-4 get byes until the 3rd round. -- These should be the proven characters. (The Elite 9 & other second tier characters)
*Characters seeded 5-8 get a bye to the 2nd round -- The characters that fall just underneath. If any new character to the contest appears to be very strong, this is where they should fall.

So now, you have characters seeded 9-16 left. This would be the first round: 9 vs 16, 10 vs 15, 11 vs 14, 12 vs 13.
From this, we go into the second with: 5 vs 12/13, 6 vs 11/14, 7 vs 10/15, 8 vs 9/16
So then once we get to the third round, we have 32 matches completed with 32 characters remaining. So now the third of this format eccentially becomes the second round of the traditional format. What you accomplish with this format is you give the lower seeded characters a better chance at victory, creating excitement that wouldn't be there for fans if they were up against a higher caliber character. Also, with potentially better early round matches, you avoid wasting a day with people having to sit thru a worthless match like Link vs AiAi.

And to put this idea in a better perspective, lets use this year's seeds as an example of what could have been:

NORTH
(9) Fox vs (16) AiAi
(10) Crash vs (15) Issac
(11) Jill vs (14) Ratchet (Interesting especially after the Squall/Luigi match)
(12) Ganondorf vs (13) Magus (the great match comes a bit sooner)

EAST
(9) Tails vs (16) CATS (Improved performace for both characters)
(10) Scorpion vs (15) Ken (Great matchup of two fighting characters)
(11) Aeris vs (14) Felix (Great Square vs Nintendo RPG match)
(12) Ness vs (13) Conker (Interesting)

SOUTH
(9) Shadow vs (16) Captian Olimar
(10) Max Payne vs (15) Raizel (Interesting)
(11) Bomberman vs (14) Ramza (Ditto)
(12) Kefka vs (13) Tom Nook

WEST
(9) Yuna vs (16) Raiden
(10) Zelda vs (15) Mr. Resetii
(11) Vyse vs (14) Kite (Great match between two obscure RPG characters)
(12) Ryo vs (13) Duke

So looking at those matchups, I'd say there's a few more interesting early round matches than they were in the previous format. Also, something else that could be done is that the characters that aren't seeded 1-8 don't come into the contest with seed initally. What this does is allow for more freedom in setting up the early matches. Then when we move to the second round, give those characters seeds on their performance. The best character getting a #9, the worst getting a #12 and so forth. Anyway, that's how I'd improve of kawaiifan's original idea. Again great post.
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 9/10/2003 1:41:39 PM | Message Detail
My Proposed 2004 Bracket:

North:
1. Cloud
2. Mario
3. Sonic
4. Ganondorf

East:
1. Mega Man
2. Crono
3. Aeris
4. Magus

South:
1. Sephiroth
2. Samus
3. Tidus
4. Bowser

West:
1. Link
2. Snake
3. Frog
4. Squall
---
Summer Contest 2003: 123 out of 192 points
From: GunMage | Posted: 9/11/2003 6:20:31 PM | Message Detail
This topic deserves a saving bump.
---
The fics are still coming. Hopefully, we'll finish before GCB III...
(Vs. Mode: http://cgi.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.asp?board=8&topic=9727932)
From: Haste2 | Posted: 9/11/2003 6:26:47 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Panthera | Posted: 9/11/2003 6:50:42 PM | Message Detail
My top 3
NORTH
1.Cloud[he DID win]
2.Sephiroth[these two must duel early]
3.Frog[he's a threat, but to be fair he gets a division he probably can't stop]

EAST
1.MegaMan[him vs. an FF7 character in the semis? Golden]
2.Aeris[Handles the division readily, but becomes a warm-up for the man in Blue]
3.Sonic[Always around]

WEST
1.Link[I doubt he'll fall easily]
2.Samus[she'll die to Link, but its only fair since Cloud and Seph have to fight]
3.Magus[just like Frog, his high seed is countered by a strong division]

SOUTH
1.Crono[about time he gets a top seed]
2.Snake[Crono beat him before, its only fair]
3.Mario[all right, being below Snake is an insult, but under my system Sephiroth is #2, and you do not get to be a higher seed than the guy who murdered you, ate your children and stole your wife]
---
Whats the difference between a cadillac and a pile of dead babies? I don't have a cadillac in my garage.-A substitute teacher
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/11/2003 6:52:16 PM | Message Detail
Aeris over Sonic? Sonic BEAT Aeris! And that coming from one who says Mario should be below Seph because Seph destroyed Mario...
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Question: Would you rather be a boy or a girl?
Ertyu: Girl so i can stear in a Mirror and look at my big Bobs
From: thundersheep | Posted: 9/11/2003 8:20:05 PM | Message Detail
I like red sox bracket but i think that Squall should be the 3rd seed he will get a helluva lot of nominations.
From: Haste2 | Posted: 9/13/2003 10:54:10 AM | Message Detail
Woah, can't let this topic die...

Here's a list of characters that have made the Sweet 16 two years in a row:

Link
Samus Aran
Cloud Strife
Aeris Gainsborough
Sonic the Hedgehog
Mario
Crono
Alucard
Sephiroth
Solid Snake
Mega Man

That's 11 characters. Who sticks out the most? Alucard. He's by far the weakest of the group.

Now let's check out all the characters that have been in the contest for 2 years but failed to win a match:

CATS (lost vs. Ryu and Cloud)
Miles "Tails" Prower (lost vs. Alucard and Auron)
Ken Masters (lost vs. Samus and Sonic)
Gordon Freeman (lost vs. Tina and Max)
Raziel (lost vs. Strider and Sephiroth)

That's only 5. Looks like Tails and Ken have just had bad luck. They deserve to return again next year, IMO. (Okay, maybe Ken could be replaced with Chun-Li and Vega or someone) Forget Gordon Freeman and CATS...they're totally worthless.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: Heroic Knuckles | Posted: 9/13/2003 10:58:45 AM | Message Detail
bump
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No, he couldn't fly. But he could fall with style.
From: Samberdog | Posted: 9/13/2003 11:02:45 AM | Message Detail
I think CATS should stay. He's the Dan of the SC!
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I met a possum!
From: Panthera | Posted: 9/13/2003 11:31:12 AM | Message Detail
Aeris over Sonic? Sonic BEAT Aeris! And that coming from one who says Mario should be below Seph because Seph destroyed Mario...

????? How the hell did I not notice that? I really need to start thinking more... Switch those two around.
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Whats the difference between a cadillac and a pile of dead babies? I don't have a cadillac in my garage.-A substitute teacher
From: Phediuk | Posted: 9/13/2003 11:38:02 AM | Message Detail
You want CATS to go, but you know that he'll be in anyway...
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: Enoch Camas | Posted: 9/13/2003 11:53:56 AM | Message Detail
A Summer Contest without CATS just isn't right.

Look at it this way: Would you rather CATS fans make hundreds of annoying topics about how he was snubbed(or set up the bomb)in the next contest, or hundreds of annoying, yet humorous, topics about him and his opponents next year? I'd go for the latter.
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"Do these huggies make my ass look big?" - Stewie Griffin
Nominate Morrigan Aensland in SC2K4!
From: Cthulhu | Posted: 9/13/2003 11:56:40 AM | Message Detail
I was thinking, what if we made each match a 3 way? 3 characters versus each other, the top one gets to move on. We can start with 81 and whittle them down easily in 4 rounds. This would reduce the power of the Elite 9 and allow the lower characters to have a chance. The only bad thing I see about this is that characters would be falling 2 a match and the entire contest would be a lot shorter
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 9/13/2003 1:35:39 PM | Message Detail
I concur. A Summer Contest without CATS just wouldn't be a Summer Contest.
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Summer Contest 2003: 123 out of 192 points
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/13/2003 5:36:55 PM | Message Detail
perhaps increas the number to 96 and make only the first rounds 3-ways.
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http://www.animenewsnetwork.com/MyAnime/index.php?categ=10&user=ChichiriMuyo
From: kawaiifan | Posted: 9/15/2003 1:12:27 AM | Message Detail
Who Cares? wrote:
Basically, this post is in response to kawaiifan's great idea for the contest format.

Thank you ^.^

*Characters seeded 1-4 get byes until the 3rd round. -- These should be the proven characters. (The Elite 9 & other second tier characters)
*Characters seeded 5-8 get a bye to the 2nd round -- The characters that fall just underneath. If any new character to the contest appears to be very strong, this is where they should fall.


I like your idea, and it's a considerably simpler layout than mine. I do have two quibbles, though:

1) The Top Three (Cloud, Sephiroth, Link) are massively more powerful than anyone else, at least at this time.
A match between any two of the Three would be close; a match between any one of the Three and anyone else, would be at least a very solid win, if not a blowout, in favour of the former. So, I would like to reduce the number of matches in which the Three appear, and thus the number of boring predictable matches in which they smash one opponent after another after another. Giving them more byes into later rounds accomplishes that. Every match in which we don't see one of the Three, frees up a day for one more match featuring two other characters. This match might be more interesting as a result, or it might not be; but it's virtually certain not to be less interesting.
Unfortunately, due to the symmetry of the bracket, either the fourth 1 seed (Mega Man, or Mario, or Samus, or ...), would have to be carried along for the multi-bye ride too despite not really deserving it, or the symmetry would have to be broken.

An extreme bye-related possibility that just occurred to me right now, which would neatly solve the problem posed by the overwhelming strength of the Three, and without requiring carrying along a fourth:
Expand the tournament by three days. Create a bracket (of whatever shape) with 64 entrants, but excluding the Three. After 63 days, a champion of the 64-character bracket will be declared. That champion then advances into a three-match, two-round 'post-season', and faces Cloud there. Link faces Sephiroth. Finally, the winners of (Cloud vs. bracket champion) and (Sephiroth vs. Link) meet each other, in a final grand championship match.
Looking at this from another perspective, it could be seen as being equivalent to giving six byes to each of the Three. ^.^

2) I'm afraid I still would not, in general, like to see newcomers receiving byes. Matches with newcomers are less predictable than those with veterans, and more fun, probably as a result. Besides, a new character may prove to be much weaker than previously thought (Luigi, Vercetti, Master Chief ... all of whom were given 3 seeds), and clearly not deserve to have received a bye, at least in hindsight.

On the other hand, a newcomer getting a bye would be OK with me, if the bracket were to place them so that they face (in their first match due to the bye) the winner of a first-round match between two other newcomers. This makes for another guaranteed new vs. new match, which is good.

Except in this particular case, though (new vs. new in first round, winner advancing to meet another new one in the second round who had received a bye), I would prefer to see all of the byes go to veterans. The more times the newcomers appear, and the fewer times the veterans reappear, the greater the likelihood of unpredictable matches. ^.^

.

I really like your idea of the preliminary 'field' being unseeded, and characters being matched up by hand instead to create interesting pairings. Seeding is important for the top few, or even perhaps for the stronger half of the field, but it quickly loses its relevance below that point.
The greater simplicity of your proposal, compared to mine, is also quite appealing to me.
Finally, the sample matchups that you created (or similar equivalents) would be wonderful to see next year.

^.^

---
Supporting Nakoruru, and her little sister Rimururu too!

From: kawaiifan | Posted: 9/15/2003 1:13:49 AM | Message Detail
Hi everyone ^.^

I'll save this topic from the purge, and add two responses as well.

Cthulhu wrote:
I wouldnt standardize a system where only repeat competitors would get a seed from #1-6, but thats more of a personal preference than anything because I dislike rigidity [....] If this were in effect, no new characters would face each other in the first round.

I guess I was thinking more of my byes proposal, in which the 1 through 6 seeds would receive byes, and the 7 through 16 would participate in the first round, when I was composing my thoughts on this matter. By excluding the new characters from the top 24, and thus concentrating them within the ranks of the lower 40, they would be considerably more likely to meet one another in the first round than would have been the case otherwise.
Under the current/standard system, however, I see your point ... the only possible first-round matches between two newcomers would then be the 7 vs. 10 (winner guaranteed to fall to the 2 in the second round) and the 8 vs. 9 (winner guaranteed to fall to the 1 in the second round).

[...] I've still got my own theory of what would work best :D but my system would call for a total revamping of the whole bracket system. It might, however, if I'm lucky, severely lessen the powers of the Elite 9 to a point where someone else might be able to win, or at least someone other than Link, Cloud, and Sephiroth. I'll post that later if I can write up a workable version of it

I'm looking forward to reading about it. ^.^

.

(Oops. ^.^;;;; I guess I posted my second message first, and my first one second. Oh well....)

---
Supporting Nakoruru, and her little sister Rimururu too!

From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/16/2003 12:46:17 PM | Message Detail
If it was not for Kawaiifan, this topic would be GONE. Thank you Kawaiifan!

Random thought of the day: remember when Solar ran a poll on his site asking who will face Link in the finals, and the "you mean Cloud" sort of answer looked like it was there as a joke? Tells how much time it took us to react to the eventuality of a Cloud win... way after the "others", the same who picked Squall over Luigi.

My opinion on the format ideas presented: I don't like the idea of byes. At all. In an ideally seeded bracket, Cloud would ALREADY face a strong opponent in the semis, and Link Sephiroth. It's just that instead of having Link, Cloud and Sephiroth kill everyone in sight, it would be Mario, Crono, Megaman and Samus. And no matter what, even with six byes for Link, Cloud and Sephiroth, these four would STILL be considered second-tiers to these three. Besides, the concept of byes involves the top players being in less matches, thus INCREASING their mathematical chances of winning. The only solution would be not bringing them back, but then the legitimacy of the title is ZERO... "Cloud could've beaten him!", and that kind of stuff.
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 9/16/2003 1:36:38 PM | Message Detail
My opinion on the matter:

We don't need byes for the "Elite 3," especially not a bye straight to the final four. A one or 2 round bye might be good, though. I think we shouldn't really worry about the "Elite 3" demolishing everone in their path. After all, didn't Link kill everyone last year and then lose to Cloud this year? Who's to say the popularities won't change again? We should, however, make sure that the "Elite 3," especially Cloud, get plenty of tough competition. A match I'd like to see is Cloud VS. Mario. While Cloud almost certainly would have beat Mario this year, the fact remains that Cloud has never beaten Mario in direct battle, while Mario has beaten Cloud once.
---
Summer Contest 2003: 123 out of 192 points
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/16/2003 1:45:44 PM | Message Detail
Marina Lightyears: Create a topic virtually anywhere on GameFAQS asking what the most underrated game ever is and you will be barraged with people saying Mischeif Makers (N64). As the star of the game, Ms. Lightyears would the most likely nominee from it. Now, of course she has a small cult following and a likely 16 Seed.

Yesmar said this and no one took notice. Anyone else ever seen her? Mischief makers is a surprisingly good game made by enix btw. She would definitly be an interesting character.
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Those who know nothing, can understand nothing. -Ansem
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/16/2003 2:20:43 PM | Message Detail
Link, Cloud and Sephiroth ALREADY had virtual byes to round 3 AT LEAST. Both times.

Link 2002: Little Mac, Strider
Cloud 2002: Fox, Pikachu
Sephiroth 2002: Gabe Logan, Crash
Link 2003: AiAi, Fox
Cloud 2003: CATS, Auron
Sephiroth 2003: Raziel, Max Payne

To the exception of Auron, all these are fodder. Giving the big three byes would only make these fodder characters lose to Crono instead of Link.
---
Question: Would you rather be a boy or a girl?
Ertyu: Girl so i can stear in a Mirror and look at my big Bobs
From: steve illumina | Posted: 9/16/2003 6:52:45 PM | Message Detail
CATS belongs in every summer contest purely for humorous purposes. Every tourney needs something to laugh at, a pure joke with no chance of ever winning even against another 16 seed. Till someone better comes along, he fits the bill nicely.
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Trivia 9: Go Cheese Strikes Back! We be in the Final Four!
NFL Week 3: Dolphins (1-1) over Buffalo (2-0) by 1
From: kawaiifan | Posted: 9/17/2003 5:41:22 PM | Message Detail
Emergency save. ^^;;;;

I've been having massive computer- and ISP-related problems today, so I'll save this while I can.

Could someone please archive this topic ASAP, just to make absolutely sure that it doesn't get lost in the void if it isn't tended to for a couple of days? Thank you ^.^

From: Haste2 | Posted: 9/18/2003 7:06:42 PM | Message Detail
Uh, these may have a lack of intelligence, but here are some awards. :[ A lot of them apply more to the boards. Some just use common sense to my best abiltty, while some use actual statistics.

Most hyped up new character: Tommy Vercetti
honorable mentions: Magus and, hm, Yoshi?

Biggest upsets: Link vs. Cloud Strife
honorable mention: Squall Leonhart vs. Luigi, Wario vs. Shadow the Hedgehog

Toughest 4-pack: Magus, Ganondorf, Sam Fisher, Tidus
honorable mention: Sonic the Hedgehog, Zero, Ken, Scorpion

Toughest division: East
honorable mention: North

Weakest division: West
honorable mention: South

Most nail-biting match: Crono vs. Mario
honorable mention: Donkey Kong vs. Tommy Vercetti

Biggest blowout: Link vs. AiAi
honorable mentions: Mega Man vs. Mr. Resetti, Mario vs. Captain Olimar

Most surprising margins of victory: Kefka vs. Crono
honorable mentions: Mario vs. Shadow the Hegdgehog, Cloud Strife vs. Sonic the Hedgehog

Top 5 hardest matches to predict:
Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth
Link vs. Cloud Strife
Solid Snake vs. Mega Man
Sephiroth vs. Mega Man
Magus vs. Ganondorf

Most surprising newcomer: Shadow the Hedgehog
honorable mentions: Tommy Vercetti, Zero

Battle of the weaklings award: Gordon Freeman vs. Max Payne
honorable mention: Pikachu vs. Fox McCloud

Most popular poll: Link vs. Cloud Strife
honorable mentions: Mario vs. Crono, Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth

Comment: I think the numbers we've been proven enough times that Squaresoft attracts more votes than Nintendo does. Could this mean Squaresoft has a sort of "unfair" advantage in these contests?

Least popular poll: Gordon Freeman vs. Max Payne
honorable mentions: Sam Fisher vs. Magus, Yoshi vs. Conker

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
From: kawaiifan | Posted: 9/20/2003 2:08:07 AM | Message Detail
Good work Haste2 ^.^ on that list of awards.

FastFalcon05, I wrote a tiny response to Yesmar's post, buried within my message of 9/6/2003 6:29:00 AM:
Yesmar:
Marina-chan looks so cute! ^.^
Such big kawaii eyes. I like ^.^
I just wish I had an N64 so I could try that game....


I'm afraid she's just too obscure to enter the contest, though. ^.^;;
She might turn out like a Ryo Hazuki or a Vyse, but with fewer votes. ;.;

Slowflake wrote:
If it was not for Kawaiifan, this topic would be GONE. Thank you Kawaiifan!

Glad to be of help ^.^

Sorry to keep going on about my byes proposal, but....
In the first round, one of these six possibilities will occur:

1) Link annihilates fodder such as AiAi, 91-9.
2) Link destroys a mid-carder such as Scorpion, 76-24.
3) Link beats a strong character such as Samus, 62-38.
4) Link skips at least the first round, having been given at least one bye.
5) Link is excluded from the tournament.
6) Link faces Cloud or Sephiroth in the first round.

Both (1) and (2) are boring and utterly useless matches, which I would like to prevent taking place if at all possible, since they're at best merely a waste of a day.
An example of (2) is if the current format is retained, but a serious effort is made to exclude all fodder from the field. Even in this case, a 16 seed will surely be weaker than Scorpion.
(3) is a little more exciting ... but it knocks out Samus in the first round. (5) is probably the worst of the first five listed, since it would simply produce cries of
"Cloud could've beaten him!", and that kind of stuff
exactly as you said. And (6) needs no comment.

I just feel that (4) is the least of the six evils here. It does have its drawbacks, but in my opinion the drawbacks of the other five listed are worse.

It's just that instead of having Link, Cloud and Sephiroth kill everyone in sight, it would be Mario, Crono, Megaman and Samus.

Yes, at least looking at the field at this time, and if we assume the standard bracket but with the Three saved for later (in other words, one possible form of my second proposal). Still, since the Mario tier is considerably weaker than the Link one, some of the blowouts will be reduced to merely clear wins, and some of the clear wins could become close. (e.g. Mario/Shadow, Sonic/Zero)
Close battles = good, as long as they're not superheated affairs like Mario/Crono ... and, in the opinion of some, even then. ^.^

Besides, my original byes proposal gives double byes to the 2 seeds like Mario, Crono, and Samus, and to the 3 seeds like Sonic, Magus, and Ganondorf. They won't be killing anyone in the first or second rounds, guaranteed, simply because they will have received byes to the third. ^.^
The strongest veterans to reappear in the first round might be the likes of a Vercetti or a Donkey Kong. The strongest ones to appear in the second would be Shadow and Zero and Aeris.

And no matter what, even with six byes for Link, Cloud and Sephiroth, these four would STILL be considered second-tiers to these three.

Unless the survivor of the 64-character bracket puts up a good fight against Cloud, that is. If that survivor gets handed a 60-40 or worse defeat by Cloud again, as expected, that would merely confirm that they should continue to be considered second-tiers to the Three. On the other hand, if the match is close (and especially if the challenger wins), that should certainly induce a second revamping of the bracket shape for 2005. But for 2004, I feel that my proposals are appropriate, since all that we have to go on at this time are the 2002 and 2003 results.

Besides, the concept of byes involves the top players being in less matches,

True. That's the point. ^.^

thus INCREASING their mathematical chances of winning.

No ... although not decreasing it. I feel that their chances of winning are essentially equal in both cases, being neither an increase nor a decrease.

---
Supporting Nakoruru, and her little sister Rimururu too!

From: kawaiifan | Posted: 9/20/2003 2:08:37 AM | Message Detail
red sox 777 wrote:

I think we shouldn't really worry about the "Elite 3" demolishing everyone in their path.

I disagree. ^.^;;;
If the current bracket shape and seeding system is retained for next year, this is exactly what will happen, for at very least the first two rounds, and likely for the third and fourth rounds as well. I would much rather see some closer, more interesting matches on those days instead.

If, on the other hand, what you mean is that they will indeed demolish everyone but that we shouldn't care (worry) about that, then I'm afraid all I can say is that I completely disagree with the 'shouldn't care' part. ^.^;;;

After all, didn't Link kill everyone last year and then lose to Cloud this year?

True ... to Cloud. He didn't come anywhere close to losing to Magus or Samus, let alone to the first two.

Who's to say the popularities won't change again?

This certainly could happen, I agree. However, all that we have to go on at this time are the 2002 and 2003 results. If the 2004 results should come out differently, and perhaps show something else along the lines of the KH effect that ruled the contest this year, the bracket certainly can and should again be re-shaped accordingly for 2005.

We should, however, make sure that the "Elite 3," especially Cloud, get plenty of tough competition. A match I'd like to see is Cloud VS. Mario. While Cloud almost certainly would have beat Mario this year, the fact remains that Cloud has never beaten Mario in direct battle, while Mario has beaten Cloud once.

That would indeed be an interesting match to see ... and one which my original byes proposal would certainly allow to take place, only without requiring three weaker characters to get themselves humiliated by Cloud first, and two others to fall to Mario.

A one or 2 round bye might be good, though.

Thank you ^.^
These are the rounds where byes could make the greatest improvements.

---
Supporting Nakoruru, and her little sister Rimururu too!

From: kawaiifan | Posted: 9/20/2003 2:14:06 AM | Message Detail
Slowflake wrote:

Link, Cloud and Sephiroth ALREADY had virtual byes to round 3 AT LEAST. Both times.

Link 2002: Little Mac, Strider
Cloud 2002: Fox, Pikachu
Sephiroth 2002: Gabe Logan, Crash
Link 2003: AiAi, Fox
Cloud 2003: CATS, Auron
Sephiroth 2003: Raziel, Max Payne

To the exception of Auron, all these are fodder.


Exactly. However, instead of refuting my point, this supports it. ^.^
'Virtual' byes are days wasted on boring matches. I say let's toss the boring matches and prevent the wasted days, by getting rid of these virtual byes and giving them true byes instead.

Giving the big three byes would only make these fodder characters lose to Crono instead of Link.

Well, we've got AiAi, Fox, Nook, and Kefka to deal with. If we give Link byes, and promote Crono into his place as you implied, Crono faces AiAi in the first round and Fox in the second. Boring blowouts once again, admittedly. However, who would then face Nook in the first round and Kefka in the second? Crono can't get both AiAi in the first and Nook in the first, and he can't get both Fox in the second and Kefka in the second.
(Unless we were to use the 3-way suggestion mentioned by Cthulhu, of course. ^.^ )
Possibly an erstwhile 3 seed like Sonic or Magus gets promoted into Crono's 2 spot? And then promoted into their 3 spots would be erstwhile 4 seeds like Zero and Aeris, and so on down the line in a ripple effect. The win margin in each match would fall slightly, making every match a little bit more exciting. No drastic improvements, true; but even a small improvement is still an improvement.

(Sample 3 seeds and 4 seeds are drawn from my 2004 recommendations (in turn based on creativename's work), and not from the actual seedings given in 2003.)

Besides, my original proposal gives Crono and company true byes to the third round, preventing any such worries. ^.^

.

Please, everyone.
Look at the first-round matches that we got in 2003....

Obvious boring blowouts, that anyone except a diehard fan of one of the underdogs could have seen a kilometre away: Link/AiAi, Luigi/Ratchet, Samus/Isaac, Cloud/CATS, Sonic/Ken (not as big a blowout as the others, but Sonic still more than doubled up Ken), Mario/Olimar, Crono/Nook, Sephiroth/Raziel, Solid Snake/Raiden, Vercetti/Kite (turned out somewhat closer than expected, but still no contest), and Mega Man/Resetti. Eleven days wasted -- more than one-third of the round -- and eleven characters simply sacrificed, having had no chance whatsoever to win.
Close matches: Ganondorf/Tidus, Master Chief/Felix, Kefka/Pacman, Max/Gordon, Knuckles/Yuna. Five out of thirty-two.

Then, please look at the possible first-round matches that Who Cares? posted....
Obvious boring blowouts: Fox/AiAi, Aeris/Felix, Shadow/Olimar, Zelda/Resetti. Four out of sixteen.
Likely close matches: Crash/Isaac, Ganondorf/Magus (I feel that this match might turn out to be close), Scorpion/Ken, Ness/Conker, Max Payne/Raziel, Kefka with one of his horrendous pictures / Tom Nook (give Kefka a sprite and this becomes a blowout), Vyse/Kite, Ryo Hazuki/Duke. Eight out of sixteen.

When we consider that Aeris clearly deserves promotion (she's a rightful 4 seed), and that AiAi, Olimar, and Resetti should be dumped next year in favour of the likes of Frog or Protoman or Sub-Zero or Delita or Chun-Li or Dr. Wily or Kain or Mewtwo or Marth or so on, the obvious boring blowouts vanish completely. Some might still occur, of course; but they would be nowhere near as predictable as any of the eleven this year were.
And it's not just a matter of improving the average strength of the field, either. In the standard bracket, the Three would still slaughter any of the nine characters whom I named, by a score of perhaps 73-27 ... while in a byes bracket, the newcomers' first-round matches would stir great interest instead.

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Supporting Nakoruru, and her little sister Rimururu too!

From: Shake | Posted: 9/20/2003 4:00:19 AM | Message Detail
I like kawaiifan's ideas.

A match Aiai and Link is boring and quite pointless, but a match between Aiai and Mr-Resetti could be a real match, although these two have no chance to get far in the tournament.

As for the enigma CATS, a match between him and someone like Resetti could mean he will actually win a battle, and that would mean delightfull choas and jubilation among his frantic fans.

The top three is established, and so are the elite 9. We have seen how the KH effect has changed things from last year to this year, but I think we can be fairly certin that anyone outside of the elite 9 has absolutely no chance to win.

So what are the ones outside of the elite 9 here for? To measure against each other, to see who is the better character, although they have no chance to get any further then an occasional sweet 16 entry.

I think Kawaiifan's system of bye's alows for more fun matches then we have now, and eliminate a lot of boring ones.

The only catch is, for this system to work the seeding has to be accurate. And that's something I'm sceptical about. It seems CjayC has some kind of malfunction everytime he has to place seedings. I would say he forgets about entry votes and just seeds them himself, with common sense.

I disagree with the idea that kawaiifan's system would give the top 3 a bigger chance of winning because they have to play fewer matches. As a lot have said already, those matches ARE virtual bye's, no chance of actual defeat. So why bother?

It doensn't decrease their chances either, they would just have to face the best among losers (So to speak) instead of facing multiple losers.

And character's like Mr Resetti and Tom Nook have tried, and failed. They should be replaced with new character's next year, from games that have no entry's yet.

By my own logic Frog would have to replace Magus as the additional CT character to Crono. I would hate that but its only fair. Magus has tried and failed, although he could get in the quarter finals if the seeding is fortunate, and I believe he could give Samus and Sonic a run for their money. But so could Frog, probably.

I think any second character from a game or serie's should be able to rival the first in support(In votes, not on the board), or be distinct enough from the main character to warrant a nomination. Magus has tried, and while he may be closer to Crono in votes then many think, its time to replace him with another from the series, Frog being the logical next to try.

I am a Squarehead, but Aeris is a totally obsolete character, 3 from a single game is too much. Cloud and Sepiroth are established and with the last final a repeat anywhere in the bracket would be interesting, even if its just to see which factor wins, anti-votes against a reigning champ or bracket-votes.

Aeris doesn't come close to these two in popularity, and should be replaced with a character like Luca Blight, although he's from a game I've never played he seems to have decent support on the board.

Street Fighter should have Ryu as their representative, Ken is too similar and sufficiently weaker to be either left out or replaced with another fighter character, Tekken or Soul Caliber's lack of any character in the contest weighs heavier then the need for Street Fighter to have a second character in. Personal opinion is Cervantes, but any will do.

Gordon Freeman should be kicked out and never allowed to return, maybe save a massive char boost from Halflife II. He should be replaced with another shooter char, or if there are no good choices you could bring in a Starcraft character.

Tails and Knuckles should be out, although I believe Shadow has a fanbase of his own and the massive Sonic series warrants a second. Also because I don't know if Sonic is stronger then Shadow, crazy as it sounds. Head to Head Sonic should win, but Shadow has the pics to own the casual votes.

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OH MAH GAWD,WHAT THE HELL IS CJAYC DOING WITH THAT DAMN CHAIR!Mario's up!Dammit,not like this!Mario pins Crono! Its a damn screwjob, by gawd!
From: Shake | Posted: 9/20/2003 4:00:29 AM | Message Detail
The jist of this is that if a character has no chance to survive two rounds, or is just an unwarranted second char they should be replaced with represenatives from other games, just to make it interesting.

There are a lot of character's that deserve to be in, namely Vivi, Frog, Luca Blight, Starcraft char (no idea), ID from Xenogears etc etc.

The only one who should be in every single year contrary to all things stated above, is CATS. He's like the running gag of this contest, and who could imagine a SC2K4 without accusations of Cloud eating baby's?

Just my 2 cents, Kawaiifan, you do the seedng next year. Would make things interesting.
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OH MAH GAWD,WHAT THE HELL IS CJAYC DOING WITH THAT DAMN CHAIR!Mario's up!Dammit,not like this!Mario pins Crono! Its a damn screwjob, by gawd!
From: Shake | Posted: 9/20/2003 4:08:07 AM | Message Detail
I also think Luigi, Donkey Kong and Yoshi can be replaced. There are a lot of more deserving character's, and Yoshi and Donkey Kong have shown to be weak character's in this contest, while Luigi is too much of a clone without putting up sufficient numbers to warrant him being in.
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OH MAH GAWD,WHAT THE HELL IS CJAYC DOING WITH THAT DAMN CHAIR!Mario's up!Dammit,not like this!Mario pins Crono! Its a damn screwjob, by gawd!
From: Shake | Posted: 9/21/2003 3:09:07 AM | Message Detail
Bumping, is this dying? Would be a shame.
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OH MAH GAWD,WHAT THE HELL IS CJAYC DOING WITH THAT DAMN CHAIR!Mario's up!Dammit,not like this!Mario pins Crono! Its a damn screwjob, by gawd!
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/21/2003 5:09:38 AM | Message Detail
Well duh, let's keep bumping it until it reaches 500! Hope Solarshadow or someone else saved it, or else we might be condemned to a Ncr-esque save.
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Question: Would you rather be a boy or a girl?
Ertyu: Girl so i can stear in a Mirror and look at my big Bobs
From: torey luvullo | Posted: 9/21/2003 5:36:07 AM | Message Detail
ah, good times.

in terms of awards, this topic [and its predecessors] wins the absolute most important award [to me] - the Most Valuable Thread award. So much credit goes to so many people who made it consistently good reading throughout the tourney.
From: Enoch Camas | Posted: 9/21/2003 10:39:55 AM | Message Detail
I'd say Yoshi, Donkey Kong, and Luigi have all established a place for themselves in the contest. They did make it to the second round this year(DK made the Sweet 16 last year), and none of them went out in a blowout.

Wario... there's no real reason for him to be here. He can beat some people, but he really doesn't seem to be that popular. Peach would do better, IMO.

Knuckles should stay, and be in a division that doesn't have Snake in it. Tails... he's the only Sonic character I really like, but like Ken, he was put in a bad position both years. He can make it to the second round, but I wouldn't be too surprised if he was dropped.
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"Do these huggies make my ass look big?" - Stewie Griffin
Nominate Sub-Zero in SC2K4!
From: Yesmar | Posted: 9/21/2003 11:38:26 AM | Message Detail
I was rereading the first stats topic and some of the stuff is pretty funny. Everybody was saying:

"This only proves that Link will win."

"A win for Yoshi."

But I have to congratulate cyko for being the first person to comment on Kingdom Hearts and the contest. He posted the following message all the way back on July 4th:

Squall seems to have picked up a little support since his appearance in kingdom hearts (or at least the anti-squall hatred is down a little), putting him on about the same level as Tidus (as a whiny final fantasy hero).

Of course little did we know how much one little appearance could do.
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Heh Heh... The wind... It is blowing...
--Ganondorf in The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker
From: franmars | Posted: 9/22/2003 9:06:01 AM | Message Detail
This topic should be saved so.... BUMP
From: torey luvullo | Posted: 9/23/2003 3:57:23 AM | Message Detail
everybody to the limit...
From: Shake | Posted: 9/24/2003 4:01:47 PM | Message Detail
Saving from the purge.

And a big thanks to Snowflake for voting for me in the sig contest, when somebody else probably wouldn't have. ^_^

I am quite sure I will lose anyway, I didn't expect to win the first round !

^_~
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OH MAH GAWD,WHAT THE HELL IS CJAYC DOING WITH THAT DAMN CHAIR!Mario's up!Dammit,not like this!Mario pins Crono! Its a damn screwjob, by gawd!
From: Heroic Knuckles | Posted: 9/24/2003 4:17:47 PM | Message Detail
bumper
I'm suprised this topic has survived for so long after the contest.
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"You want some? Well come and get it!" ~Viewtiful Joe
From: EvilNcr | Posted: 9/24/2003 4:18:41 PM | Message Detail
bah. survived much longer last year.
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The Reaper is always a step behind you ncr...
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