Stats & Discussion - Summer
2003 Contest |
| | Page 8 of 10 | | | |
From: steve
illumina | Posted: 7/30/2003 2:45:58 PM | Message
Detail |
"Which, of course, begs the question: Who would
win, Tommy Vercetti vs. Master Chief?"
Very interesting
comment here. And a match that I would honestly be curious to see.
Icon vs Icon? Yah right. Xbox poster boy vs PS2 poster boy? Yep.
Thats all it is. That is how this match would be labeled.
On
the one side ya got Master Chief, whom is Xbox's only real
recognizable original character, save Sam Fisher. But Splinter Cell
does not have the time on the shelves yet that Halo does, which
makes Chief and not Sam the one true Xbox original character, and a
fitting poster boy/symbol of the system. (Dont even mention bums
like Blinx or Azurik!)
On the other side is Tommy 'Vice City'
Vercetti, who stands for nothing more than halfhearted character
development masked by corporate overmarketing and word of mouth
sales of a game played mostly by peeps looking for a violence fix.
He is a good representative for the modern day mass selling game's
more or less generic character.
Many people have played these
games, myself included, and I enjoyed both of them for what they
were. But I did not play them for the main characters. Neither did
many others. These two in this contest are both overseeded #3 seeds
and it showed in first round matches against lesser known game
series RPG characters. Both are doomed to defeat in Round 2 against
stronger competition than they already faced, and had troubles
with.
If they faced off, Tommy would grease the Chief with a
win, because there are more PS2 users, Xbox/Microsoft haters, and
more copies of GTA floating around than Halo. The margin would be
tight, only at 60%-40% at most...if that high.
--- ~Steve
Illumina~ Contest Score: 24/30 Official Sephiroth Supporter:
Summer Contest 2003 |
From: solarshadow
| Posted: 7/30/2003 4:25:09 PM | Message
Detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the
original poster] |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 7/30/2003 4:38:42 PM | Message
Detail |
Match #30 Review (and match #29 additional
thoughts)
Round 2 just got interesting. For a long, long
while, it looked as though we would only have Bowser vs. Yoshi as a
good match, but now we have Ryu vs. Dante and, with Vercetti's
disappointing performance, DK vs. Tommy V. The funny thing about
today's match is... no one seems to agree on who's a stronger
opponent, Kite or Vyse. I'd say Vyse was, but not by far. Plus,
there is the "same console factor" that killed DK last year, but
helped him against Vyse. That gave the illusion that DK was beating
Vyse handily... barring that factor, it should have been more along
the lines of 55-45. So Kite would need to be 10% weaker than Vyse to
have a DK/Vercetti 50-50. I just don't think the margin is so much.
My point is, Solar was wrong... this match indeed tests Vercetti's
might, and it's just not impressive at all. He should beat DK by a
slim margin, then go down in spectacular fashion to the Blue Bomber.
To think, he had the 6th highest odds... could bracket-voters be a
determining factor in a round 2 victory?
Match #31
Preview
THE SEQUEL NOBODY WANTED: Well, we were on the
money about the lack of interest in Tomb Raider: Cradle of Life. The
big-budget sequel finished an astonishing fourth at the box office
this weekend. Yes, people are interested in star Angelina Jolie
(#13), but that #45 ranking for Tomb Raider includes both the film
and the video games, and it is far lower than the #7 peak of the
first Tomb Raider movie in 2001.
Source: 50.lycos.com,
July 29, 2003
This column excerpt can be cut down to four
words: no one cares anymore. Sure, Lara's one of the most recognized
faces of gaming, but I have to remind you all of something... in
last year's round 1, the match where both contestants combined had
more name recognition than any other round 1 match ended up being
the biggest blowout in Summer Contest history so far. Of course, it
won't be the case in 2003, but my point is, name recognition will
get you nowhere if people know you, but don't care. That's where
Lara stands. As far as Zelda is concerned, Tidus vs. Ganondorf
showed that Link, Ganondorf and Zelda must be considered as three
separate entities. She surely won't rake in the votes like Link, but
she won't do too bad, either, as Lara's definitely no Tidus... she
couldn't even get 30% against Crono. Further proof that, and sorry
if I'm redundant but I HAVE to insist, nobody
cares. --- Summer 2003 Contest: Slowflake (CAN) . . . .
. 27/29, 0 lost . . . . . T-90 (384-way) Today's pick:
Vercetti |
From: solarshadow
| Posted: 7/30/2003 4:42:24 PM | Message
Detail |
And King Morgoth is still my hero.
;)
Okay, thanks to King Morgoth the First Round Top 10
section of the stats site is finally updated. Also, the First Round
Full List section looks much nicer. All hail
Morgoth.
Well, as it turns out, this match tells a whole
lot about Vercetti. So far, a paltry 65.97% against a weakling like
Kite? That's awful. All of a sudden, even a chump monkey like Donkey
Kong is looking like stiff competition.
Yeah, I really
thought Vercetti would do better. I guess he got hurt bigtime by the
anti-vote. With GTA's enormous popularity, it's hard to imagine he
couldn't do better against an opponent like Kite. It looks like DK
vs. Vercetti (what I originally thought would be an uneventful
match) has turned into one of the more interesting showdowns of the
second round. Who's got their money on Donkey Kong
now?
Which, of course, begs the question: Who would win,
Tommy Vercetti vs. Master Chief?
I still think Vercetti
would take it, but it's a very interesting matchup that I'd
certainly like to see. Maybe next year. :) --- Contest
Stats: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 7/30/2003 4:42:52 PM | Message
Detail |
And a question: is Vercetti called by his name
in GTA:VC? If not, then no wonder no one recognizes him with that
pic. A close-up pic could help him more in round 2 in that
case. --- Summer 2003 Contest: Slowflake (CAN) . . . .
. 27/29, 0 lost . . . . . T-90 (384-way) Today's pick:
Vercetti |
From: solarshadow
| Posted: 7/30/2003 4:47:13 PM | Message
Detail |
Vercetti is frequently referred to by name, to
the point where most people who've played Vice City should recognize
it when they see it. Not that the shirt shouldn't have given it away
long in advance... --- Contest Stats:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com |
From: Team
Rocket Elite | Posted: 7/30/2003 4:51:31 PM | Message
Detail |
IMO anti-votes should not have much of an effect
on Vercetti. Yes, Vice City is popular and thus there are a lot of
potential anti-voters. One problem. Many GTA fans don't even know
Vercetti is the guy in the game. I doubt many people who dislike GTA
will even know Vercetti is from GTA3. You can't anti-vote if don't
know who the character is. --- "Those whose memories fade
seek to carve them in their hearts..." "All dreams are but
another reality. Never forget..." |
From: Jjukil
| Posted: 7/30/2003 5:11:25 PM | Message
Detail |
Heh heh. Obviously Vercetti's true strength
is still a mystery...or, at least, the reasoning behind his
weakness in today's poll is.
Personally, I think that the
hardcore GTA players (and there's obviously a lot of them at this
site) will know they're playing as Tommy Vercetti. His design is
pretty unique thanks to that Hawaiian shirt (the original GTA guy
just looked like Max Payne), and his name is used fairly often in
the cutscenes. But while the cutscenes refer to him as Vercetti, the
rest of the game doesn't, and neither do the TV commercials. So he
may be more pic-reliant than most, in that a lot of casual voters
have probably seen him but never/rarely heard his name.
...I
think today's pic should be good enough for most people to recognize
him, though. Even if he does look fat. =P So Vercetti's true support
is not looking good.
As for the other subject at hand--well,
I said Dante needed a strong showing if he wanted to beat Ryu, and
he sure had one. Chalk up another unpredictable second-round match.
Like Vyse and Kite, it's hard to tell if Duke or Ryo is weaker;
Duke's certainly more recognizable, but he's also a PC character.
We'll just have to see how this one goes when it goes...and, for
most of us, hope Ryu wins after all. |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 7/30/2003 5:11:33 PM | Message
Detail |
Well put TRE.
I had another thought, and
I want to put it here.
Is being seeded third a kiss of
death?
Duke Nukem: Very well known, but hated a lot as
well. Gordon Freeman: Mario and Crono blank? Think again. Jill
Valentine: Best opposition against Link in the 2002 South, so...
yeah, despite being such a weak division in the first
place. Serious Sam: Almost lost to Mr. Driller, the rest is
history... Luigi: Good 3-seed, though Magus should've been
here. Master Chief: So few here own an X-Box, and there are
always the haters. Kirby: Popular on the board, but outside...
no. Tommy Vercetti: See today's result.
So the only
deserving 3-seed EVER would be Luigi, and you can include Jill if
you want to take the strength of the division into
account.
On another note, I've got a couple columns on the
way for Friday:
-Round 1 Winners And Losers* -Round 2
Overview
*not bracket-wise! --- Summer 2003 Contest:
Slowflake (CAN) . . . . . 27/29, 0 lost . . . . . T-90
(384-way) Today's pick: Vercetti |
From: cyko
| Posted: 7/30/2003 5:18:56 PM | Message
Detail |
Top 10 Vote Getters
1. Cloud
Strife- 94086 2. Link- 92998 3. Sephiroth- 90364 4. Mario-
89189 5. Crono- 88469 6. Solid Snake- 84638 7. Samus Aran-
81123 8. Bowser- 74164 9. Dante- 74068 10. Sonic-
73484
Top 10 Most Pathetic Characters (Least
Votes)
1. Aiai- 8802 2. Captain Olimar- 11678 3.
CATS- 14168 4. Tom Nook- 14631 5. Raiden- 17480 6. Raziel-
19838 7. Ryo Hazuki- 21316 8. Ratchet- 24099 9. Ness-
24627 10. Isaac- 26560
Top 10 Blowouts (Biggest Vote
Difference)
1. Link over Aiai- 84196 2. Cloud over
Cats- 79918 3. Mario over Captain Olimar- 77511 4. Crono over
Tom Nook- 73838 5. Sephiroth over Raziel- 70526 6. Solid Snake
over Raiden- 67158 7. Samus over Isaac- 54563 8. Dante over
Ryo Hazuki- 53752 9. Bowser over Ness- 49537 10. Luigi over
Ratchet- 46451
Top 10 Closest Matches
1.
Ganondorf over Tidus- 1582 2. Kefka over Pac-Man- 1773 3.
Master Chief over Felix- 6318 4. Max Payne over Gordon Freeman-
7284 5. Knuckles over Yuna- 10832 6. Kirby over Ramza-
15380 7. Squall over Jill- 19118 8. KOS-MOS over Crash
Bandicoot- 23631 9. Donkey Kong over Vyse- 24284 10. Zero over
Scorpion- 28969
Top 10 Most Impressive
Losers
1. Tidus- 57078 2. Felix- 50231 3. Pac-Man-
45905 4. Yuna- 45531 5. Ramza- 42482 6. Gordon Freeman-
41997 7. Scorpion- 41916 8. Tails- 38685 9. Jill Valentine-
38274 10. Crash Bandicoot- 37510
Top 10 Least
Impressive Winners
1. Kefka- 47678 2. Max Payne-
49281 3. Knuckles- 56363 4. Master Chief- 56549 5. Squall-
57392 6. Kirby 57862 7. Ganondorf- 58660 8. Magus-
60598 9. Donkey Kong- 61027 10. KOS-MOS- 61141
Top
10 Biggest Vote Totals
1. Tidus vs. Ganondorf-
115738 2. Zero vs. Scorpion- 112801 3. Sephiroth vs. Raziel-
110202 4. Auron vs. Tails- 108884 5. Cloud vs. CATS-
108254 6. Samus vs. Isaac- 107683 7. Master Chief vs. Felix-
106780 8. Sonic vs. Ken- 106630 9. Wario vs. Shadow the
Hedgehog- 104607 10. Crono vs. Tom Nook- 103100
Top 10
Smallest Vote Totals
1. Gordon Freeman vs. Max Payne-
91278 2. Sam Fisher vs. Magus- 91464 3. Yoshi vs. Conker-
92418 4. Pac-Man vs. Kefka- 93583 5. Luigi vs. Ratchet-
94649 6. Dante vs. Ryo Hazuki- 95384 7. Squall vs. Jill
Valentine- 95666 8. Ryu vs. Duke Nukem- 96408 9. Donkey Kong
vs. Vyse- 97770 10. Sora vs. Aeris- 97810
Top 10
Easiest Matches to Pick (Based on Number of Correct Contest
Entries)
1. Link vs. Aiai- 99.1% 2. Mario vs. Captain
Olimar- 98.0% 3. Cloud vs. CATS- 94.9% 4. Sephiroth vs.
Raziel- 93.9% 5. Samus vs. Isaac- 93.8% 6. Crono vs. Tom Nook-
92.8% 7. Solid Snake vs. Raiden- 92.6% 8. Luigi vs. Ratchet-
87.9% 9. Sonic vs. Ken- 84.4% 10. Dante vs. Ryo Hazuki-
83.5%
Top 10 Hardest Matches to Pick
1. Wario
vs. Shadow the Hedgehog- 42.1% 2. KOS-MOS vs. Crash Bandicoot-
42.5% 3. Pac-Man vs. Kefka- 43.5% 4. Zero vs. Scorpion-
47.3% 5. Tidus vs. Ganondorf- 47.7% 6. Knuckles vs. Yuna-
50.2% 7. Sam Fisher vs. Magus- 56.9% 8. Pikachu vs. Fox
McCloud- 57.4% 9. Auron vs. Tails- 60.7% 10. Squall vs. Jill
Valentine- 62.1%
--- Currently a fan of these Summer2K3
characters: Magus, Cloud, Zero, Bowser, Kefka, Sephiroth
and Mr. Resetti |
From: cyko
| Posted: 7/30/2003 5:45:09 PM | Message
Detail |
cyko's Match 30 Review
Tommy Vercetti
vs. Kite
well, dang. i guess Vercetti really isn't
getting much support. and i have a really hard time believing that
Kite is more popular than Vyse. i know Dot Hack has more of a
following than it should (or as much as i was willing to admit
yesterday), but i do believe that there is a bit of a GTA anti-vote
in there. either way, it kinda proves one of my points i made
yesterday:
honestly, how many fans of Grand Theft Auto
really care about the characters or the story? most people play the
game to shoot people and steal police cars and tanks that you can
run things over with; not to get sucked into the story. and we all
know how well action characters do on gamefaqs compared to rpg
characters (see Master Chief). so this match will be a bit of gauge
to see how many fans Vercetti has gathered, or if most GTA fans
don't recognize him or care enough to vote.
i guess most
GTA fans either don't recognize him or care enough to vote. putting
up these unimpressive numbers against a nobody like Kite means that
he has no chance against a big name like Megaman. now, even Donkey
Kong will prove to be an interesting match. i still believe that
Vercetti is a little stronger than DK. right now (at 5:30), Vercetti
is winning by as much as DK did yesterday, and his lead is still
increasing. but now, we have another close Round 2 match to look
forward to.
cyko's Match 31 Preview
Lara Croft vs.
Zelda
i used to think this was going to be a close match,
especially with Lara's new movie coming out. but the more i thought
about it, the less of a chance i saw Lara having. she only pulled
65% against a rapping onion and then barely defeated the
underacheiving Ryo Hazuki (who got destroyed by Dante). i really did
think that the movie would help her, but then i saw that amazon post
that Slowflake posted which slammed how awful the new Tomb Raider
movie is. bwahahahahah!!! nobody really does care about Lara Croft
anymore. all she has going for her are her big blocky breasts, which
really aren't that impressive anymore either. her new game is a
pile, or movie is tanking, and her downward spiral will continue
with her loss to Zelda. aside from being the name of one of the most
popular series ever, she also drew her own fans with Super Smash
Bros. that may not amount to much against a powerhouse like Megaman,
but against a washed up character that is way past her prime, it
will definitely suffice.
prediction: Zelda with about
60%
--- Currently a fan of these Summer2K3
characters: Magus, Cloud, Zero, Bowser, Kefka, Sephiroth
and Mr. Resetti |
From: EvilNcr
| Posted: 7/30/2003 5:48:13 PM | Message
Detail |
slowflake, a comment I might add. You talk of DK
doing that well though being favored by the "same console"
advantage.
But the same thing goes with Vercetti and he still
does poorly. And.. Skies of Arcadia was always more popular than
.hack, despite it being on GCN. --- The Reaper is always a
step behind you ncr... |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 7/30/2003 5:58:43 PM | Message
Detail |
True. However, the Gamecube caters to much less
categories of gamers, and the main one (regarding only the Gamecube)
tends to like classic franchises like DK over
RPGs.
Meanwhile, the PS2 has monster sales numbers, and it
appeals to many more categories. On one hand, you have a
super-violent game, and an RPG(?) on the other.
But, now you
must ask, since both belong to different categories in both cases,
why is Vercetti so different from DK:
Answer: THE SIZE OF THE
CATEGORIES. Like I said, a great majority of people bought the
Gamecube not for the few RPGs it has, but for the first-party games.
However, PS2 is a better measuring stick, as it's a universal
console of sorts, because of the incredible variety of games for it.
And look at the sales!
It sounds confusing, I know, but
that's how I see it. --- Summer 2003 Contest: Slowflake
(CAN) . . . . . 27/29, 0 lost . . . . . T-90
(384-way) Today's pick: Vercetti |
From: NT220
| Posted: 7/31/2003 7:35:18 AM | Message
Detail |
Slowflake's post about third seeds
underperforming got me to compile some stats about how various
seedings fared in last years tournament. Characters with 1, 2, and 3
wins are all assigned as many points, semifinalists are given 5,
finalists 7, and the winner 10.
Listed are the total points
of all four characters of a certain seeding. In the parentheses I
give the expectant, which is the amount of points the seeding will
have if every match went perfectly according to seed - so first
seeds have an expectant of 27, because if no seeding upsets took
place then the winner, runner-up, and two semifinalists will all be
first seeds, giving a total point value of 27.
1 seeds: 13
(27) 2 seeds: 17 (12) 3 seeds: 4 (8) 4 seeds: 5 (8) 5
seeds: 11 (4) 6 seeds: 5 (4) 7 seeds: 8 (4) 8 seeds: 2
(4) 9 seeds: 2 (0) 10 seeds: 0 (0) 11 seeds: 2 (0) 12
seeds: 1 (0) 13 seeds: 0 (0) 14 seeds: 1 (0) 15 seeds: 0
(0) 16 seeds: 0 (0)
As seen, the fifth seeds were the
biggest overachievers last year, with a semifinalist (Crono) and two
quarterfinalists (Samus and Scorpion) to their credit. In fact, had
their representative in the North division (Terry Bogard) not been
so weak, they would have easily been the second-best seeding. Third
and fourth seeds were indeed disappointing, each with only one
character actually living up to his or her seeding. The seventh
seeds also performed beyond expectations, though that was almost
entirely due to Sephiroth. Similarly, only one of the first seeds
(Mario) actually took the division final as the seeding dictated,
and had he not reached the finals the first seeds may have actually
suffered the embarrassment of losing to the sevenths.
Of
course, last year's seedings were done, to paraphrase CJayC, "by
entrants' predictions and blind guessing", so they certainly weren't
ideal. This year the seedings far better reflect the characters'
actual popularity (except for a few cases such Magus), so there
should be less difference between the expectant and actual
values. --- "The surest sign of intelligent life outside Earth
is that none of them has tried to contact us" ~Calvin |
From: therealmnm
| Posted: 7/31/2003 3:53:09 PM | Message
Detail |
lol, I JUST posted a topic yesterday asking
about people's opinions and whatnot... I post it and then I stumble
upon this topic and every question that I had to ask was answered in
this topic. I wanted to just delete my topic, but oh well. Great job
guys! I probably won't be POSTING but I'm reading everything! Great
way to occupy my time on a slow day at my desk at
work!
--- Atma Weapon, FFVI "FEEBLE CREATURES, GO!!!!" (Go
where?) And that's The Real M&M, NOT The Real Man!!!! |
From: MOB
| Posted: 7/31/2003 3:53:52 PM | Message
Detail |
Random rant from the MOB:
Mario
didn't quite blow-out weak opponents and look how he ended up.
(Reference to Vercetti vs. Kite match.) Oh and .hack is a much more
popular game than Skies of Acardia, even though the latter may be
the better game. I personally care more for .hack's innovativeness
but I easily see why Skies is hailed as much as it is. Vercetti will
beat DK without difficulty and may even upset the overrated Mega
Man.
Talk about characters being unimportant to the game, do
people really play the Mega Man games out of strong character
relations they see with a blue-suited pre-pubescent?
Vercetti is sarcastic, angry, loud, brash, and and hated by
parents everywhere. Not to mention overtly Italian and fashionable.
How could you not like him?!
I personally feel that Vercetti
is a better character, in design and personality, than anyone he
will face up until perhaps Sephiroth.
That's all. Keep your
eyes open for the MOB, you don't want to get on it's bad
side.... --- Moremegli said: "I have two glue sniffing
pirate teachers. Oddly enough they both teach art, must be for the
easy access to the glue." |
From: SCCAN85
| Posted: 7/31/2003 4:03:39 PM | Message
Detail |
The only thing that may prevent Vercetti from
going very far is name recognition. I'm referring mainly to the
Megaman/vercetti match. Everyone who plays a Megaman game knows who
Megaman is, whether they like the game or not. Not everyone who has
played GTA:Vice City know about Vercetti unless they take the time
to get into the story.
Surprisingly, a lot of people enjoy
the freedom and go on killing sprees and car chases before getting
into the story so who knows. I have vercetti winning and while that
may be a huge mistake I'm still rooting for the gangsta against my
favorite robot next to Zero. --- Games to get: Thievius
Racoonus $40(PS2) Amplitude $30(PS2) Timesplitters 2 $30(PS2)
Megaman Network $40(GC) Bomberman Generations $20(GC). |
From: MOB
| Posted: 7/31/2003 4:06:07 PM | Message
Detail |
The MOB likes its rants responded
to..... --- Moremegli said: "I have two glue sniffing
pirate teachers. Oddly enough they both teach art, must be for the
easy access to the glue." |
From: FFantasyFX
| Posted: 7/31/2003 4:50:09 PM | Message
Detail |
Answering Slowflake's sales number question from
a couple pages ago:
According to the NPD chart that I have,
the original Parasite Eve sold over 750,000 copies, quite a bit more
than I expected. The sequel sold close to 250,000 copies.
On
the other hand, the Dreamcast Skies of Arcadia sold slightly over
100,000 copies. I don't have definitive numbers for Skies of Arcadia
Legends, the Gamecube version, but based on what I know and some
extrapolation, I'd guess that it has sold between 60,000 to 75,000
copies.
Obviously Parasite Eve has a lot more exposure than
SoA, although I think SoA partially counters that with a more rabid
fanbase. |
From: cyko
| Posted: 7/31/2003 5:03:16 PM | Message
Detail |
sorry, MOB, but Vercetti will not beat Megaman.
Megamanfans are everywhere. Vercetti will have a tough match against
DK now. Megaman almost beat Sephiroth last year, who has a way
bigger following than little Kite. the number three curse strikes
again.
and Slowflake, i was thinking the same thing about the
number three seed curse myself. at least some of the seeds kinda
made sense. Halo and GTA: VC are popular games. but Serious Sam
Stone? what the heck was that all about?!?
cyko's Match 31
Review
Lara Croft vs. Zelda
see? i told you that
nobody cares about Tomb Raider or Lara Croft anymore. her aging
series should be retired. instead, the Zelda series goes three for
three in round one. however, Zelda's victory today (currently about
62%) isn't impressive enough to suggest that she will do anything to
stop Megaman next round. but at least she will put up a better fight
than Serious Sam Stone (good grief, a three
seed!!?!).
cyko's Match 32 Preview
Megaman vs. Mr.
Resetti
what's to preview here? match starts at 12:00. at
12:01 Megaman secures an insurmountable lead over the helpless mole.
begin round two. Mr. Resetti is a pretty funny character (way
funnier than crappy CATS), but there is no way he should have been
in this tournament; especially after another Animal Crossing
character already got slaughtered. biggest blowout ever? maybe; the
results will be very similar to Link vs. Aiai, but the lack of
anti-Megaman votes may boost Megaman over the top. lowest vote
amount ever for the angry mole? i seriously doubt it. Animal
Crossing has a lot more support on this site than Sam Stone and
there are more pity voters this year than there were last year. he
should be able to at least break 6000. either way, expect a slow
board tomorrow as the fanboys prepare for round
two.
prediction: Megaman with
92.14%
--- Currently a fan of these Summer2K3
characters: Magus, Cloud, Zero, Bowser, Kefka, Sephiroth
and Mr. Resetti |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 7/31/2003 5:07:39 PM | Message
Detail |
Thanks FFFX. Though I think rabidness doesn't
matter a lot, just the "fan" part of it. Unless there's cheating
involved.
Another question... what about
.hack?
Match #31 Review
What did I tell you?
Zelda's laying the smackdown on the universal VG sex-symbol. Not so
surprising. Her percentage has been falling all day long, though, so
I'd predict she finishes with 62%. It's almost 10 points less than
Crono, but hey, she's no Crono and everybody knew that. But if
you're no Crono... how much of a chance do you stand against the
Blue Bomber? Zero. I'm goind to predict she gets 35% of the votes
though... which might just be better than Vercetti.
Match
#32 Preview
Here he comes... the only character capable
of ending Link's reign. Shout Magus or Samus all you want, they
didn't prove themselves as great threats. And if Sephiroth doesn't
survive the South, Megaman has an awesome shot an appearance in the
finals. But first... he has Resetti in his way. What a joke. First,
his picture is horrible. Have you seen it? Worse than Lettuce Kefka
in every possible aspect. And Megaman destroyed a rather photogenic
opponent (the Rock... er, Serious Sam) 92-8. I haven't played AC,
but an angry mole that jumps out at ya when you press Reset... I'd
hate that. To say, it'll only get pity votes from people who haven't
played AC... Raiden had a lot of confusion and a weaker opponent
working for him. 95-5? Not too far-fetched... --- Summer
2003 Contest: Slowflake (CAN) . . . . . 28/30, 0 lost . . . . .
T-80 (348-way) Today's pick: Zelda |
From: Team
Aqua Elite | Posted: 7/31/2003 5:24:35 PM | Message
Detail |
In responce to MOB:
Vercetti can't really
be compared to Mario. Mario has tons more name recognition then
Vercetti does and has been around much longer. Some people who have
played Vice City don't even know Vercetti's name. So while you can
go the boards unrelated to video games and get votes for Mario. You
might not even get support from GTA boards about Vercetti. Megaman
is way over rated on this board, but that does NOT mean he is a weak
opponent. Megaman was last year's blowout king and was only slightly
weaker then Sephiroth. Even if Vercetti was as stong as predicted,
Megaman would put up a challenge. Based on Vercetti's Round 1
proformance, he will be blown out by Megaman. --- One Poké
to rule them all,...and in the drizzle bind them. In the land of
Hoenn where the downpour lies. |
From: cyko
| Posted: 7/31/2003 5:36:24 PM | Message
Detail |
i'm not gonna preview every round 2 match yet (i
gotta save my commentary for the day before the matches); but now
that the round one matches are all decided (including Megaman. =P),
i will ask for your opinions.
which round two matches do you
think will be close?
i believe that we will see seven close
matches:
(12) Ganondorf vs. (13) Magus- Magus is
infinitely more popular than Tidus on the boards and he has the
better picture with Akira Toriyama's art. but will it be enough to
stop the Legend of Zelda fans?
(3) Luigi vs. (6)
Squall- Sguall has the Square support, but he is one of the more
unliked Final Fantasy heros. he will have a tough time taking out
everyone's favorite underdog, but does Luigi have has many fans as
his brother?
(4) Yoshi vs. (5) Bowser- with the Super
Mario vote split, who will come out to challenge Cloud? before the
tourney started, Yoshi was the heavy favorite, but Bowser had a much
more impressive first round victory.
(2) Sonic vs. (7)
Zero- this will be the most surprisingly close match of round 2.
Zero is definitely not the favorite, but he only recieved about 2600
fewer votes than Sonic did in Round one against an arguably tougher
opponent; and did it with a LOT fewer people predicting him to win
in their brackets (47.3% vs. 84.4%). with his anime-style image
giving him a good portion of the casual vote and Megaman supporters,
he just might pull off the upset.
(3) Kirby vs. (6)
Alucard- neither really has much of a big advantage. Alucard
beat Bomberman by a bigger margin than Jill did last year and Jill
beat Kirby. so theoretically, Alucard should have an easy match. but
Kirby seems to have a lot more support this year, making this a
close match.
(4) Dante vs. (5) Ryu both had impressive
first round victories over fading characters. both haven't had a
really popular game in a while. both are Capcom characters. it could
go either way.
(3) Tommy Vercetti vs. (6) Donkey Kong-
this wasn't supposed to be a close match, but Vercetti didn't do all
that great aginst Kite the obscure rpg character. DK didn't do all
that spectacular against Vyse either, though. now they are just
fighting for the chance to be Megaman's third victim.
that's
my preview for Round 2. all the other matches are pretty much
already decided. we can already welcome, Link, Samus, Cloud, Aeris,
Mario, Crono, Sephiroth, Solid Snake, and Megaman to the sweet
sixteen.
what do you think?
--- Currently a fan
of these Summer2K3 characters: Magus, Cloud, Zero, Bowser,
Kefka, Sephiroth and Mr. Resetti |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 7/31/2003 5:43:23 PM | Message
Detail |
Darn, I put italics instead of bold. Not like it
matters anyway.
And cyko... you're stretching a little far
here. We will have THREE, count them, THREE good matches in round 2.
Still better than last year's fabulous ONE (and it was the wrong one
at that), but four of these are more like
not-so-big-but-obvious-wins-nonetheless. But I'll keep it for
tomorrow. Wow, I'm going to have a busy day on this topic tomorrow.
My usual review and preview, Winners And Losers, round 2 overview...
I can't wait to write all of this! --- Summer 2003 Contest:
Slowflake (CAN) . . . . . 28/30, 0 lost . . . . . T-80
(348-way) Today's pick: Zelda |
From: Samberdog
| Posted: 7/31/2003 6:04:58 PM | Message
Detail |
Sorry I haven't been posting much lately... the
contest I've been running has been eating all my internet
time.
Cyko, I agree with all the second round matches you
named. I wouldn't bet all my money on any of them.
Match
#25 - Solid Snake VS Raiden - Review
Snake - 84638 /
82.88% Raiden - 17.12% / 17.12%
Total - 102118 (11th
highest)
Prediction Percentage - 92.6% (19th hardest) My
Pick - Snake Analysis Topic Pick - Snake "Odds" Pick -
Snake
Brackets Ruined - 21
A good performance by
Snake, but it's hard to tell just how popular he is since he faced a
fellow MGS character. Still, Snake seems to be where we last left
him, at the bottom of the top tier or the top of the upper/middle
tier. Snake will defeat Knuckles (*sigh* again...)quite easily,
although it'll be interesting to see how the results differ from
last year's contest. Barring some crazy upset, he'll also beat Ryu
(I hope). He won't stand a chance against MegaMan unless the Blue
Bomber has seriously dropped in popularity in the last year. Raiden
certainly could have done worse... although I never thought it would
be that huge of a blowout. I'd say Resetti is a shoe-in for the Mrs.
Pac-Man award this year. I can't wait for that match... I'm really
excited for MegaMan this year... I can't say why
though.
Match #26 - Knuckles VS Yuna -
Review
Knuckles - 56363 / 55.32% Yuna - 45531 /
44.68%
Total - 101894 (12th highest)
Prediction
Percentage - 50.2% My Pick - Yuna Analysis Topic Pick -
Knuckles "Odds" Pick - Yuna
Brackets Ruined - 95
Oh
darn. I had Knuckles in my bracket, but I actually went and changed
after the deadline. I blame MMXcalibur 100% :D. That's the
second point I've lost by underestimating a Sonic character. Not
that it really matters, as this match was extremely tough to
predict. It was the only match that the analysis topic could not
reach a near consensus on. So Knuckles is off to round two to get
his butt handed to him by Snake for the second time. I guess Yuna
wasn't as strong as we thought, obviously FF-X2 didn't seem to help.
Another confirmation that upcoming games do not make a difference in
voting.
Match #27 - Ryu VS Duke Nukem -
Review
Ryu - 67413 / 69.92% Duke Nukem - 28995 /
30.08%
Total - 96408 (21st highest)
Prediction
Percentage - (14th hardest) My Pick - Ryu Analysis Topic Pick
- Ryu "Odds" Pick - Ryu
Brackets Ruined - 41
Ryu
did quite well... even though his percentage had been dropping
throughout the day. I thought it would be closer... I guess Duke
really sucks... although he's probably even less popular than he was
last year. Ryu should be able to beat Dante and advance to round
three (although it might be close), a performance like this isn't
enough to take down Snake though. Bonus for this being a match with
two characters that made it to the second round last year.
Conclusions: Iori < Duke (< Alucard) < Ryu <
Samus. --- Summer 2003: "The Great GameFAQs Character
Battle II" Current Record: 26-4 / 26 points won / 4 points
lost / Tied at #1400 |
From: MMXcalibur
| Posted: 7/31/2003 7:15:04 PM | Message
Detail |
Hehe....yeah, remember me tellin' you I take no
blame in that Yuna suggestion, Samberdog?
I live by it to
this day...
XD
Anyways, I'd post analysis on the
matches ahead and behind us.....
But...I'm all analyzed out
after writing out the Link/Fox bout in my PC. --- (2)MEGA
MAN vs (15)Mr. Resetti VOTE MEGA MAN TOMMORROW! (28/31
pts.) |
From: solarshadow
| Posted: 8/1/2003 1:59:07 AM | Message
Detail |
The stats website is fully updated. Phew, that
takes longer and longer to do with each new section I add.
Especially if I'm doing two days' worth at a time. ;) New poll up
too. I'm behind on those again. That's about it for now. Need some
sleep.
Don't forget to enter the Oracle Challenge if you
haven't already. It starts
tomorrow! http://cgi.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.asp?board=8&topic=9246055 --- Contest
Stats: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com |
From: steve
illumina | Posted: 8/1/2003 12:09:04 PM | Message
Detail |
With Mr Resetti getting stomped back into the
molehole from whence he came, it is now time to move onward...onward
to my look at Round 2 in the North Division...
(1) Link vs
(9) Fox: We started Round 1 with a blowout, why not start Round 2
with one as well? Scanning the 16 matches of Round 2, it appears
that this match has a better than average shot at being the biggest
blowout of all 16 of them. The Link juggernaut is too mighty to be
stopped by fellow Nintendite supported character, Fox.
Reasons why...too many to list, but I will anyway. Link has
been around longer, defending champ, recent release was very good,
poster child of Nintendo along with Mario, total destruction of AiAi
shows his power, cameo in Soul Caliber 2 releasing in 4 weeks seals
the deal..best original character crossover in a long while. You get
the jist of it...Fox's fate is set, but he will be back next year
regardless. Pick: Link by 87.11%
(12) Ganondorf vs (13)
Magus: The closest battle of the North Division Round 2 is right
here. The ages old Nintendo vs Square war fights another round here,
a battle of villains, both with loyal rabid fanbases and hailing
from longtime game series. Ganon has morphed in appearance over the
years, but has remained the one true undisputed nemesis of Link. He
comes from the most highly regarded of Nintendo's franchises, and
Nintendo fanboys would covet a Link v Ganon match in the Sweet
16...
But it wont happen. Magus has just a tad bit more
supporters in the Square camp. Is regarded as one of the Top 3
Square villians ever by many (along with Kefka and Sephiroth). Dont
look at the easy victory over 'Splinter' Sam Fisher to be the reason
for this win though. Sam was a nobody, Ganon is a somebody.
Pictures? Pretty much irrelevant also, any real gamer knows who
these two are. The casual vote will be split pretty much even with
little deviation to one side or the other, leaving this one up to
the real fans. And the fans will speak for Magus, but not by much.
Pick: Magus by 58.22%
(6) Squall vs (3) Luigi: Interesting
match here, as underrated dark horse Luigi takes on the pride of
FF8, Squall. Squall is not all that popular in Square circles as we
all know. He is a middle of the road Square hero who is merely
average, no better, no worse. Supporting characters like Frog and
Vivi have more loyal fanbases than this guy. Sure he beat has-been
Jill Valentine, but so what? He now meets a foe with more staying
power than Jilly...
Sidekick Luigi has become more and more
popular over the years as the loyal lackey to the King of
Platformers, Mario. He destroyed one game wonder Ratchet
convincingly, heck it was not even close, and will stomp all over
Squall too. Square vs Nintendo again, yes, but not like Magus and
Ganon. Nintendo strikes back here, but more convincingly, as the
casual vote sways too far in Luigi's direction. Pick: Luigi by
69.89%
(7) KOS-MOS vs (2) Samus Aran: Not much to say here,
should be a solid victory by the better known Samus Aran over worthy
foe KOS-MOS. KOS-MOS will put up a good show for herself, with the
RPG loyalists firmly in her camp, but the casuals and others will go
with Samus, who has never met a game she did not like in her Metroid
series. Nintendites are too numerous, and she is one of their faves.
2 is a Prime number, she is Prime, and she is Prime for victory
here, though it will not be a blowout. Pick: Samus by
72.20%
--- ~Steve Illumina~ Contest Score:
25/32 Official Sephiroth Supporter: Summer Contest 2003 |
From: StopPokingMe
| Posted: 8/1/2003 2:22:23 PM | Message
Detail |
Where are they now?
With the first
round in the books, let's take a look at how last year's veterans
are faring in this year's contest.
34 characters who
appeared in GCB 2k2 returned for GCB 2k3.
In 2002, thanks to
the bracket pairings, at most 28 of those characters could
have advanced to round 2 (Tails, Fox, Squall, Kirby, Ken, and CATS
all returned after losing in the 1st round to opponents who also
returned). 26 did advance to round 2. Gordon Freeman and
Raziel lost to characters who did not return.
This year,
thanks to the pairings, at most 25 of the 34 repeat entrants
could have advanced to round 2. Only 19 have done so. Tidus,
Crash, Tails, Scorpion, Pac-Man, and Lara Croft have the unenviable
distinction of having been beaten by a newbie.
Thus the
failure rate among these returning characters, who we will assume
for the sake of argument to have been the strongest competitors from
last year, is up from 2/28 to 6/25. That's a whopping 236%
increase! Make no mistake, the competition is much stronger
this year.
To further illustrate this point:
All of
last year's final four returned, and are still alive after 1
round.
All of last year's elite 8 returned, but one of them
(Scorpion) couldn't even win one round! Many congratulations are in
order for new entrant Zero who could be a major threat in
years to come.
All of last year's sweet 16 returned, but 4
(Lara, Pac-Man, Scorpion, and Jill Valentine) are already gone. New
entrants Zelda and Kefka have certainly made a name
for themselves, and returning contestant Squall's stock is on
the rise.
Fox, Squall and Kirby have so far bucked the
trend--they are the only characters who have advanced farther
already than they did last year.
On a somewhat unrelated
note, this year's sweet 16 is guaranteed to have at least two new
faces, as newbies Ganondorf and Magus clash in the North while
Bowser and Yoshi compete for the spot in the East. Tidus is the only
repeat entrant who could have taken either of those spots,
though... --- "You think you're right, but you know you're
wrong." -- My friend, master debater |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 8/1/2003 4:39:55 PM | Message
Detail |
Match #32 Review
Disappointing
should be the word for Megaman's performance today. "What are you
talking about? He's got 89%!" Yes, but Megaman has no hate base
whatsoever, and he's barely doing better than Crono who has a rather
good one. Granted, AC might have been big for a while, as it
ascended to the top 10 FAQs pages for some time, but Resetti's not
the kind of character that you should like. Unless people like the
comical relief he delivers... but basically, he's MEANT to be an
annoyance. Ms. Pac-Man didn't reach 8% against Megaman, but has a
lot more name recognition. Then again, Serious Sam, who has pretty
much none (and to come back on the topic of the 3-seeds, how he got
one is beyond me) did better... so could it be that his performance
against Ms. Pac-Man raised the expectations to a level that is
unattainable, no matter what? Maybe. But Megaman's still
unimpressive today.
Match #33 Preview (Poll #1337
special edition)
OMGOMGOMG!!11!!1!!!1one! lynx is t0tllY
gunna PWNZ0RZ fax awt of teh LAYLAT 5I5TAM!!!11!11!eleven1! llinck
PWNS yuo!1!1!!!1!11 sword slash attack yur ded!1!!11!one!11!
LOLOLOLOLOL!!1111!11!
NEXT: Round 1 Winners And
Losers --- Summer 2003 Contest: Slowflake (CAN) . .
. . . 29/31, 0 lost . . . . . T-68 (236-way) Today's pick:
Megaman |
From: bladeblur
| Posted: 8/1/2003 5:34:26 PM | Message
Detail |
Match 35 review
With a new Movie,
and a luckbuster game, it wasn't enough for Ms. Croft to take the
trophy against Zelda. Guess who's the main lady here,
Croft!
Match 36 review Easy win for Mega Man. The
angry moll, while being one of the most funniest characters ever in
a video game, could not beat Capcom's hero, we love him, and we need
to hope if he could last against Snake.
Match 37
preview Fox is cool, Link is cooler. Another easy challenge
to the champion... Probably until Samus he won't have any
challenges... Link 86%
Match 38 preview So I
thought that Sam will beat Magus, I didn't know how popular he is.
But against Ganondorf it's a bit tougher as there are many Zelda
fans out there. If Ganondorf will win, it'll be Link vs. Ganondorf.
Ganon 59% --- Can't hold no much longer, but I'll never let
go! Now Playing: Sonic Adventure DX, Rayman 3,
Burnout 2. |
From: cyko
| Posted: 8/1/2003 7:13:57 PM | Message
Detail |
Top 10 Vote Getters
1. Cloud
Strife- 94086 2. Link- 92998 3. Sephiroth- 90364 4. Mario-
89189 5. Crono- 88469 6. Solid Snake- 84638 7. Samus Aran-
81123 8. Bowser- 74164 9. Dante- 74068 10. Sonic-
73484
Top 10 Most Pathetic Characters (Least
Votes)
1. Aiai- 8802 2. Captain Olimar- 11678 3.
CATS- 14168 4. Tom Nook- 14631 5. Raiden- 17480 6. Raziel-
19838 7. Ryo Hazuki- 21316 8. Ratchet- 24099 9. Ness-
24627 10. Isaac- 26560
Top 10 Blowouts (Biggest Vote
Difference)
1. Link over Aiai- 84196 2. Cloud over
Cats- 79918 3. Mario over Captain Olimar- 77511 4. Crono over
Tom Nook- 73838 5. Sephiroth over Raziel- 70526 6. Solid Snake
over Raiden- 67158 7. Samus over Isaac- 54563 8. Dante over
Ryo Hazuki- 53752 9. Bowser over Ness- 49537 10. Luigi over
Ratchet- 46451
Top 10 Closest Matches
1.
Ganondorf over Tidus- 1582 2. Kefka over Pac-Man- 1773 3.
Master Chief over Felix- 6318 4. Max Payne over Gordon Freeman-
7284 5. Knuckles over Yuna- 10832 6. Kirby over Ramza-
15380 7. Squall over Jill- 19118 8. Zelda over Lara Croft-
21701 9. KOS-MOS over Crash Bandicoot- 23631 10. Donkey Kong
over Vyse- 24284
Top 10 Most Impressive
Losers
1. Tidus- 57078 2. Felix- 50231 3. Lara
Croft- 49240 4. Pac-Man- 45905 5. Yuna- 45531 6. Ramza-
42482 7. Gordon Freeman- 41997 8. Scorpion- 41916 9. Tails-
38685 10. Jill Valentine- 38274
Top 10 Least Impressive
Winners
1. Kefka- 47678 2. Max Payne- 49281 3.
Knuckles- 56363 4. Master Chief- 56549 5. Squall- 57392 6.
Kirby 57862 7. Ganondorf- 58660 8. Magus- 60598 9. Donkey
Kong- 61027 10. KOS-MOS- 61141
Top 10 Biggest Vote
Totals
1. Tidus vs. Ganondorf- 115738 2. Lara Croft
vs. Zelda- 113881 3. Zero vs. Scorpion- 112801 4. Sephiroth
vs. Raziel- 110202 5. Auron vs. Tails- 108884 6. Cloud vs.
CATS- 108254 7. Samus vs. Isaac- 107683 8. Master Chief vs.
Felix- 106780 9. Sonic vs. Ken- 106630 10. Wario vs. Shadow
the Hedgehog- 104607
Top 10 Smallest Vote
Totals
1. Gordon Freeman vs. Max Payne- 91278 2. Sam
Fisher vs. Magus- 91464 3. Yoshi vs. Conker- 92418 4. Pac-Man
vs. Kefka- 93583 5. Luigi vs. Ratchet- 94649 6. Dante vs. Ryo
Hazuki- 95384 7. Squall vs. Jill Valentine- 95666 8. Ryu vs.
Duke Nukem- 96408 9. Donkey Kong vs. Vyse- 97770 10. Sora vs.
Aeris- 97810
Top 10 Easiest Matches to Pick (Based on
Number of Correct Contest Entries)
1. Link vs. Aiai-
99.1% 2. Mario vs. Captain Olimar- 98.0% 3. Cloud vs. CATS-
94.9% 4. Sephiroth vs. Raziel- 93.9% 5. Samus vs. Isaac-
93.8% 6. Crono vs. Tom Nook- 92.8% 7. Solid Snake vs. Raiden-
92.6% 8. Luigi vs. Ratchet- 87.9% 9. Donkey Kong vs. Vyse-
87.7% 10. Sonic vs. Ken- 84.4%
Top 10 Hardest Matches
to Pick
1. Wario vs. Shadow the Hedgehog- 42.1% 2.
KOS-MOS vs. Crash Bandicoot- 42.5% 3. Pac-Man vs. Kefka-
43.5% 4. Zero vs. Scorpion- 47.3% 5. Tidus vs. Ganondorf-
47.7% 6. Knuckles vs. Yuna- 50.2% 7. Sam Fisher vs. Magus-
56.9% 8. Pikachu vs. Fox McCloud- 57.4% 9. Auron vs. Tails-
60.7% 10. Lara Croft vs. Zelda- 61.7%
--- Currently
a fan of these Summer2K3 characters: Magus, Cloud, Zero,
Bowser, Kefka, Sephiroth and Mr. Resetti |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 8/1/2003 7:30:30 PM | Message
Detail |
ROUND 1 WINNERS AND
LOSERS
This column is inspired by the Planet-F1
website, where a column just like this one is written after every
Grand Prix. A difference however: I've added a new award: the Turd
Of The Round award, which is just like the Star Of The Round, but
for the losers. So without further ado, let's
start!
WINNERS
STAR OF THE ROUND:
Bowser (E5): Without a doubt, this is the contestant that came
out of nowhere to pull a stunning performance against Ness. I
expected the Earthbound fanbase to flock in masses and vote Ness,
but it looks as though it's more vocal than massive. Nevertheless,
Bowser was strong enough to take advantage of the situation and pose
himself as a genuine candidate to take the entire
East...
Link (N1): I don't know if VGerX kept what I
said about Link in his quote, but it was something like this:
"Link's just like Kurt Angle: everyone likes him, but yells "You
suck" at him out of principle." His match proved just that: it was
there to test the might of the anti-champion forces. Conclusion:
politicking doesn't mean jack, just ask Wario. Link vs. AiAi will
probably stay in the top spot as the biggest blowout of 2003. Some
will say that it was cruel and unusual punishment, but others, like
me, were amused at the carnage. This display of power should have
the opposition crapping in their pants, power suits, trenchcoats and
whatnot...
Tidus (N5): He may not have won his match,
but he was certainly one of the biggest winners of this round. Many
overlooked him back in June (though for some reason, less than half
of the entrants picked Ganondorf), totally overlooking his good
result against Sonic or blaming it on the blue blur. Sonic showed
his power in his match, making Tidus look even better in the
process.
Squall Leonhart (N6): His underseeding last
year had him job to Snake in the first round, but he gathered 35% of
the vote, while his opponent, Jill, got 27% against a much stronger
opponent, Link. The table was set for a coin toss... that was not to
be. Squall sent Jill to contest hell with a convincing victory. The
reason? It seems to be more on Squall's end... Kingdom Hearts, where
he apparently played a less frustrating role than in FF8. For that,
I'll give the credit to Squall and I won't put Jill in the Losers
list. Plus, the "experts", who saved themselves in the three
previous matches, what the "others" failed to do, witnessed exactly
the reverse, as Samberdog's topic's pick was wrong for the first of
two (and a half) times.
CATS (E16): I was tempted to
give him the Star Of The Round award, but in the end, he didn't
accomplish as much as Bowser... just taking the lead for a couple of
minutes. However, this has surely sent chills down the spines of FF
fans everywhere, and I think it might have taken off a bit of
momentum from the Squaresoft side, as some horrid performances later
in the round show. Plus, he provided the board invaluable comical
relief. All my thanks are belong to CATS!
Conker
(E13): After Bowser's incredible performance against Ness, a lot
of people thought that Yoshi would do even better. How wrong we
were... He beat the seemingly weak Conker only 2 to 1. For the
protagonist of a game that didn't sell all that well, a third of the
vote is just extraordinary against a near-icon.
Sonic the
Hedgehog (E2): For some strange, creepy reason, he got the same
first round opponent as arch-rival Samus last year. And deliver he
did, as he got a whole 5 points better than the bounty hunter. This
helps to sell himself as yet another threat to Cloud's grip on the
East, and this makes the gauntlet he has to face before much
easier. --- Summer 2003 Contest: Slowflake (CAN) . . .
. . 29/31, 0 lost . . . . . T-68 (236-way) Today's pick:
Megaman |
From: Haste2
| Posted: 8/1/2003 7:30:49 PM | Message
Detail |
Cyko, are you THAT impatient to wait until Mega
Man vs. Mr. Resetti was over to go and post those top 10 lists? =p
(End of R1 is kind of a nice place to end) Very informative
lists...it makes Bowser look like he's really something. I want to
believe that he can beat Cloud. :[
Good job everyone on your
analyzing future matches...maybe I'll -try- to do one some time,
though I'm not a very good writer...
Oh, and I'll have some
other top 10 lists once Mr. Resetti's torture is
over.
--- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It
could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and
eat CAKE! ...I think." |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 8/1/2003 7:30:54 PM | Message
Detail |
Mario Mario (S1): With Servbot racking
25% of the votes against him on the way to an appearance in the
finals, it gave the impression of a smaller, but much more loyal
fanbase. This perception was shattered as Olimar couldn't take
advantage of the Mario hate to score a decent percentage. Sure, he's
Nintendo too, but Mario's much more of a symbol, so he could gather
anti-votes, what he didn't do last year. This gives Mario a lot of
momentum for the much-anticipated rematch against
Crono...
Shadow the Hedgehog (S9): I hate him so much
that I was hoping to give him the Turd award, but no. He pulled a
massive upset out of the bag against Wario, who had a lot going for
him, from his own games to countless appearances in Mario spin-offs.
However, Shadow's coolness (ugh) managed to counter all that, and
even better, he got a landslide victory. Looks like we all forgot
what one-game wonders can do...
Alucard (S6): Everyone
seemed to discard Alucard for the win of his 4-pack... just like
last year. However, with a better win against Bomberman than Jill,
he will square off with another common opponent, and it makes the
results all the more obvious. Yet people STILL underestimate
Alucard. Tails, Duke, Bomberman... what will it take for you people
to understand that he's able of winning matches?
Kirby
(S3): Him and CATS have the same problem: a lot of their support
is concentrated in the board. Despite his 3-seed (too high, I must
admit), he looked like the underdog against Ramza, who carried the
Square aura. But he pulled off a convincing win, which would have
made his chances against Alucard look better if it wasn't for
Bomberman...
Knuckles the Echidna (W8): Yet another
popular character who overcame the Square aura. This was pinpointed
in Samberdog's topic as THE most unpredictable match of the first
round. It looked like it... until the sun showed up. Knuckles ended
up winning by a bigger margin than whatever could be possibly
expected.
Dante (W4): Another character that turned
the tables on his round 2 opponent. He clearly overachieved in
comparison... last year showed he was worth only a few points on
Lara, but he went and did 18% better against the same opponent.
Could DMC2 have had a POSITIVE impact on Dante? If it's the case,
there's no telling what he'll do later on... because it could
loyalize (is that a word) the Dante troops, who seemed to flock
massively against him against popular characters, turning seemingly
even matches *coughcronocough* into blowouts.
Donkey Kong
(W6): Finally, a half-decent result for DK, what he didn't have
last year. However, Skies of Arcadia being a niche series (and for
Gamecube, at that) probably helped DK a lot, a bit like Bowser. But
let's give DK the credit he deserves... many saw him struggle to get
past the first round, and now he's a Sweet 16 candidate (more on
that later). To say, Mario isn't the only one to have a history of
incredible luck in the Character
Battle...
LOSERS
TURD OF THE ROUND:
Tommy Vercetti (W3): Wow, I didn't expect that... I'm giving the
Turd award to the one that was toted as the biggest wildcard EVAR.
The worst-case scenario back in June, and even for most of July was
him losing badly to Megaman, but he sizzuked so much against Kite
that he might not even survive DK. Just... wow. Sixth highest odds?
As many brackets sent to hell. 'Nuff said.
Ganondorf
Dragmire (N12): He's definitely one of the runner-ups for the
Turd award. Everyone saw him pick up the win easily (among those
that were here in June, at least) due to Link's spillover
popularity... and he was nearly ousted from day three. "Everyone
wants Link vs. Ganondorf." Once again, Magic-8-Squall says:
"...Whatever." --- Summer 2003 Contest: Slowflake (CAN)
. . . . . 29/31, 0 lost . . . . . T-68 (236-way) Today's pick:
Megaman |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 8/1/2003 7:31:11 PM | Message
Detail |
Magus (N13): Back in early June, everyone
saw Magus as the only major threat to Link, he was AT LEAST on par
with Sephiroth, and the true final was on August 18. Time has passed
since then, and his rather unconvincing win against Sam Fisher puts
him more on Crono's level. It's hardly going to do any good to his
chances, isn't it?
Yoshi (E4): The big hype for Yoshi
back in June (how many times did I say the word June now?) was an
old PotD that said that Yoshi was the favorite Mario character of
the voters. A few years later... could that love have vanished? It
doesn't sound logical, since Yoshi's been around for so long and has
had a great staying power so far. But it's the impression that was
left after his match with Conker, and the end of the road could now
be earlier for Yoshi than most predicted...
Master Chief
(E3): In the middle of X-Box haters and RPG fans, Master Chief
wasn't expected to do well against Felix. But for what's as close to
a console mascot as Microsoft can have, to lose to a lesser-known
RPG character just sounds weird. And it almost happened. For one who
has the eighth highest odds, it just might hurt as much as
Vercetti.
Scorpion (E10): Scorpion, member of last
year's Elite 8 last year, is ousted in the first round. Few people
expected that, but let's be honest... Scorpion did worse against
Link than STRIDER last year. This tells you how weak he really is.
But, he still was overrated like hell, and that's the only reason
he's making the Losers list... all that credibility he gained last
year is now GONE.
Wario (S8): What happened? One
second Wario was a slim favorite for the win, the next one he's
losing in a blowout. He had a REALLY bad picture, true, but the
problem's not there alone (it's not like Wario's photogenic anyway).
It's more likely that the comical relief Wario provides is more seen
as an annoyance. But what's for sure is that name recognition isn't
worth much on a gaming site. Especially when you lose so many votes
to people who haven't even played SA2...
Kefka Palazzo
(S12): (Yes, the guy has a last name.) Ouchie. Another top
contender for the Turd award. He's probably the most popular
character from FF6, as chances are he was the only one nominated
enough to get into the contest. This shows that, despite FF6 being
the superior game according to people who played 6 and 7, the latter
was the one that gave FF its claim to fame. Sure, Pac-Man is a
legend, but like Donkey Kong, he's not that liked. So to fail to win
by 2000 votes against him is definitely a kiss of death for later
rounds, no matter the opponent.
Ramza Beoulve (S14):
Normally, lesser Square, or at least RPG, competitors have an edge
over lesser competitors from other companies/genres (sorry Kirby
fans, but that's what he is). Despite that rule of thumb, he still
found a way to lose to Kirby. This shows how the "other" FFs (1-6
and Tactics) have more of a niche fanbase than anything.) Still,
it's surprising, as Jill, 2002's Kirby-killer, was shown not to be
that strong, first by Link, then by Squall.
Yuna (W9):
With Auron sending Tails back to school, many people expected Yuna
to beat Knuckles, though not with the same ease. The match not only
proved that Knuckles was superior to Tails, but also that Yuna was
ages behind Auron. FFX-2 didn't even seem to help Yuna turn the
tide, as normally games that aren't out won't do that. But, if it
did, thank god it was there, or it would have been a
slaughter.
NEXT: ROUND 2 OVERVIEW --- Summer
2003 Contest: Slowflake (CAN) . . . . . 29/31, 0 lost . . . . .
T-68 (236-way) Today's pick: Megaman |
From: cyko
| Posted: 8/1/2003 7:33:18 PM | Message
Detail |
cyko's Match 32 Review
Megaman vs. Mr.
Resetti
and round one ends with one dead mole. at 7:30,
Megaman has about 89% with a 70000 vote lead. it's another
commanding victory for the blue bomber, but not the biggest blowout
of all time that some expected. but an unimpressive victory? come
on, Slowflake, Megaman is on pace to the third character to break
90000 votes and probably score the second or third biggest blowout
so far this year. some people just like angry moles, i
guess.
cyko's Match 33 Preview
(1) Link vs. (9) Fox
McCloud
and round two begins the same way round one did-
with a huge blowout. *yawn* i can relax and wait for things to heat
up on sunday. Fox scored a decent victory over Pikachu, but Link is
Link. i predict that over 90% also predicted this match right,
also.
prediction: Link by a heck of a lot
(90-92%)
--- Currently a fan of these Summer2K3
characters: Magus, Cloud, Zero, Bowser, Kefka, Sephiroth
and Mr. Resetti |
From: cyko
| Posted: 8/1/2003 7:46:45 PM | Message
Detail |
Cyko, are you THAT impatient to wait until
Mega Man vs. Mr. Resetti was over to go and post those top 10 lists?
=p (End of R1 is kind of a nice place to end) Very informative
lists...it makes Bowser look like he's really something. I want to
believe that he can beat Cloud. :[
lol, don't worry
Haste2, i'll post one specifically for the end of round one. i just
wanted to get it in now because i had been doing it every other
day.
and Slowflake- i enjoy your winners and losers, but how
can you forget about Zero in the winners column? he pulled what will
be the 13th highest vote total (including Megaman and Zelda) against
a tough opponent, even scoring an upset with the brackets; all in
his first tournament match. he made an impressive showing. i look
forward to your overviews and more of your
opinions.
--- Currently a fan of these Summer2K3
characters: Magus, Cloud, Zero, Bowser, Kefka, Sephiroth
and Mr. Resetti |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 8/1/2003 8:26:16 PM | Message
Detail |
ROUND 2 OVERVIEW
Link vs.
Fox: Pretty boring match. Link will have the Nintendo support
almost unanimously, and the rest will also support Link massively,
except joke voters and anti-repeat people, which are overestimated
anyway. Prediction: Link with 83%
Ganondorf vs.
Magus: I don't see why there's actually doubt in the outcome of
this match. Magus is certainly more popular than Tidus... there's no
way Ganondorf gets to Link. Prediction: Magus with
58%
Squall vs. Luigi: Another match where I don't
understand the hype. Luigi is ages ahead of Jill, and even if he's
no Snake, he should take the cake here. Prediction: Luigi with
57%
KOS-MOS vs. Samus: A lot of board support for
KOSsy, but she didn't beat up Crash by enough to be considered a
match. She's better than Isaac though, that's for
sure. Prediction: Samus with 65%
Cloud vs.
Auron: Square civil war, part one. Auron's the most popular of
the FF10 cast, but he's no match against an icon like Cloud. Still,
I expect the vote to be split between Square lovers, and Cloud
haters might have their word to say too. Prediction: Cloud
with 63%
Bowser vs. Yoshi: The first interesting
match of round 1. Remember that PotD I talked about in the Winners
And Losers article? Here's where it can come into play. Mario fans,
who constitute approximately half of the GameFAQs population, will
probably vote massively for Yoshi, and the rest will be split, with
perhaps a slight advantage to Bowser due to SMRPG. Still, I think a
lot of people who voted for Yoshi and Bowser in round 1 will turn to
Yoshi. Prediction: Yoshi with 53%
Aeris vs.
Master Chief: After getting almost beat by Felix, if you think
MC can take out Aeris, you need brain surgery.
IMMEDIATELY. Prediction: Aeris with 74%
Zero vs.
Sonic: Zero wasn't in the Winners list for nothing (that's for
you Cyko)... if something, his opponent was equal or slightly weaker
than Sonic's, with what we saw of Scorpion and Ken against top-tier
characters (Ken fared a bit better IMO). Sonic will take it without
that much trouble. Prediction: Sonic with
56% --- Summer 2003 Contest: Slowflake (CAN) . . .
. . 29/31, 0 lost . . . . . T-68 (236-way) Today's pick:
Megaman |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 8/1/2003 8:26:47 PM | Message
Detail |
Mario vs. Shadow: This reminds me of
Mario vs. Morrigan. Some crazy people who think Mario will actually
go down... and it ends in a blowout. Granted, Shadow's more popular
than Morrigan, but Mario also seems stronger than last year. I can
see Shadow bringing down Mario's percentage to a critical point
(like 60%), but not winning. Prediction: Mario with
65%
Kefka vs. Crono: With Kefka's ridiculous
performance against Pac-Man, a close match is out of the question.
Over and out. Prediction: Crono with 76%
Alucard
vs. Kirby: This has been said many times... Alucard was better
than Jill against Bomberman. With the difference between Kirby and
Jill, and the one between Jill and Alucard, Kirby has a tough cliff
to climb. Prediction: Alucard with 58%
Max Payne
vs. Sephiroth: Max Payne was slaughtered by Scorpion. Raziel
narrowly lost to Strider. Scorpion and Strider had similar scores
against Link. I rest my case. Raziel > Max
Payne. Prediction: Sephiroth with 87%
Snake vs.
Knuckles: We already saw that one. No reason why the winner (and
the percentages) shouldn't remain the same. Prediction: Snake
with 60%
Ryu vs. Dante: Another good match. I
explained why I think Dante won't quite match Ryu in Winners and
Losers... big fanbase, but not loyal enough. Prediction: Ryu
with 54%
DK vs. Vercetti: Before Vercetti's match,
it was a no-brainer. Not anymore. Still, SoA's sales apparently are
nowhere near Parasite Eve's, which could partly explain DK's good
performance, that and there's what I said about Gamecube vs.
Gamecube not being as good a measuring stick as PS2 vs. PS2.
Therefore, Vercetti will barely break through. Prediction:
Vercetti with 53%
Zelda vs. Megaman: Zelda creamed
Lara bad, but not as bad as Crono. And if you're not to Crono's
level, you're screwed against Megaman. Prediction: Megaman
with 65% --- Summer 2003 Contest: Slowflake (CAN) .
. . . . 29/31, 0 lost . . . . . T-68 (236-way) Today's pick:
Megaman |
From: CapnAmerica
| Posted: 8/1/2003 9:00:29 PM | Message
Detail |
How many errors do you think the winner will
have this year? --- What da dealio ~ Marge
Simpson |
From: MMXcalibur
| Posted: 8/1/2003 10:13:23 PM | Message
Detail |
Good read all over, Slowflake, Round 2 preview
and Round 1 IN REVIEW.
I enjoyed reading who were the REAL
winners and losers of Round 1 and why. Y'know, despite Conker being
a loser in the contest....he's still a winner...YES HE IS, YES HE
IS! XD
Anyway, keep up the good work. --- MEGA
MAN RD.2: vs Zelda (1)Link vs (9)Fox McCloud (29/32
pts.) |
From: solarshadow
| Posted: 8/1/2003 11:26:59 PM | Message
Detail |
Good stuff Slowflake, as usual. Do you want
those percentage predictions entered in the Oracle
Challenge?
Now, why was the Lara/Zelda match so popular?
Second highest vote total! I had to double check that three times
when updating the Top 10 lists (I guess that's "quadruple check").
It wasn't even all that close.
So, how's everyone doing
compared to last year? I've got 29 points (thanks to Squall, Shadow,
and Knuckles) at the end of the first round. Last year I also had 29
points, so not much has really changed. I just hope my later round
predictions are a bit better this year. --- Contest
Stats: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com |
From: Haste2
| Posted: 8/2/2003 12:43:38 AM | Message
Detail |
solarshadow, I have 30 points with all the same
picks as you except with Knuckles winning.
I have some top 10
lists that apply to Round 1 over the past 2 years. Look at the
bolded names to find the winners if you forgot...but it's obvious
which characters won in 2 of those lists.
Top 10 Easiest
to Predict Matches 1. Link vs. AiAi- 99. 12% [of the brackets
correct] 2. Mario vs. Captain Olimar - 97.99% 3. Link vs.
Little Mac - 96.39% 4. Mario vs. Servbot - 95.87% 5. Mega Man
vs. Mr. Resetti - 95.61% 6. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Pitfall Harry
- 95.59% 7. Cloud Strife vs. CATS - 94.91% 8. Donkey Kong vs.
Bub - 94.18% 9. Mega Man vs. Ms. Pac-Man - 94.08% 10.
Sephiroth vs. Raziel - 93.91%
Top 10 Toughest to Predict
Matches 1. Wario vs. Shadow the Hedgehog - 42.11% [of
the brackets correct] 2. Spyro the Dragon vs. Morrigan
Aensland - 42.28% 3. KOS-MOS vs. Crash Bandicoot -
42.45% 4. Pac-Man vs. Kefka - 43.47% 5. Gordon Freeman
vs. Tina Armstrong - 43.71% 6. Zero vs. Scorpion -
47.28% 7. Tidus vs. Ganondorf - 47.72% 8. Knuckles
the Echidna vs. Yuna - 50.22% 9. Abe vs. Kyo Kusanagi
- 50.51% 10. Jill Valentine vs. Kirby -
50.77%
Top 10 Biggest Blowouts 1. Mega Man vs. Ms.
Pac-Man - 92.30% 2. Link vs. AiAi - 91.35% 3. Mega Man vs. Mr.
Resetti - 88.96% 4. Mario vs. Captain Olimar - 88.42% 5.
Sephiroth vs. Gabe Logan - 87.71% 6. Cloud Strife vs. CATS -
86.91% 7. Crono vs. Tom Nook - 85.91% 8. Link vs. Little Mac -
84.31% 9. Solid Snake vs. Raiden - 82.88% 10. Sonic the
Hedgehog vs. Pitfall Harry - 82.44%
Top 10 Closest
Matches 1. Tidus vs. Ganondorf - 50.68% 2. Pac-Man
vs. Kefka - 50.95% 3. Strider Hiryu vs. Raziel -
52. 57% 4. Master Chief vs. Felix - 52.96% 5. Jill
Valentine vs. Kirby - 53. 34% 6. Gordon Freeman vs. Max
Payne - 53.99% 7. Alucard vs. Miles "Tails" Prower -
54.32% 8. Pikachu vs. PaRappa the Rapper - 54.41% 9.
Knuckles the Echidna vs. Yuna - 55.32% 10. Tidus
vs. Claire Redfield -55.46%
--- "Ah, a party! We haven't
had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well,
you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
From: Who
Cares? | Posted: 8/2/2003 12:47:03 AM | Message
Detail |
Right now I’m sitting with three losses (Squall,
Master Chief, & Knuckles are to blame) But all and all, I
feel good about my bracket.
My turn to do some number
crunching! :) Well ,with the completion of this year’s first round,
I was kind of curious if the first round performances by
characters in certain seed positions had some significance in the
later matches, as well as how easy it is to pick an upset. Anyway
here’s some of the first round matchup stats from both years
going by seeds...
Seed # -- Avg Vote Count – Pct of Vote –
# of Wins (from largest to smallest Pct)
1 ---- 67,407 --
82.73% -- 8 16 -- 14,069 -- 17.27% -- 0
2 ---- 66,779 --
76.24% -- 8 15 -- 20,814 -- 23.76% -- 0
4 ---- 51,718 --
68.73% -- 7 13 -- 23,533 -- 31.27% -- 1
5 ---- 49,620 --
61.31% -- 5 12 -- 31,310 -- 38.69% -- 3
3 ---- 47,042 --
59.06% -- 7 14 -- 32,616 -- 40.94% -- 1
7 ---- 48,708 --
58.74% -- 6 10 -- 34,213 -- 41.26% -- 2
6 ---- 46,057 --
58.69% -- 6 11 -- 32,420 -- 41.31% -- 2
8 ---- 38,721 --
48.10% -- 4 9 ---- 41,778 -- 51.90% -- 4
Avg Margin
of Victory (from largest to smallest)
1 v 16 - 53,339
2 v 15 - 45,965
4 v 13 - 35,618
6 v 11 -
25,659
5 v 12 - 23,325
7 v 10 - 23,317
8 v 9
- 21,304
3 v 14 - 17,237
OBSERVATIONS As
expected, 1 vs 16 & 2 vs 15 matches are the most lopsided and 8
vs 9 are closest, but there are some very interesting things
about this list. As pointed out by Snowflake earlier, 3
seeds seem to be the weakest of the higher seeded characters.
They manage only the 6th highest vote count, and have only the
5th best percentage of the vote. Of course the biggest thing is that
their matchup with 14 seeds is the smallest margin of victory. I
think this a case of characters that are just seeded too high,
because except for Gordon losing to Tina, all of these characters
survive their first round match, but clearly don’t have enough to
survive.
And to point out NT220's comments, 5 seeds have been
overachievers, with the 4th best vote count & percentage of
votes. Last year all 5 seeds that survived their first round matches
(Crono, Scorpion, & Samus) all made it to the Elite 8 by
taking out a 1 seed in the process, so 5 seeds seem to be the
most favorable position...but so does the 12 seed. Outside of the 9
seed, no other lower seeded characters have put up more victories
than 12s. Last year Aya beat Terry & this year Kefka beat
Pac-Man, and Ganondorf took out Tidus. Aya lost the next round, but
put up a fight against DK, & if Ganondorf & Kefka share
the same fate, they will put up a fight as well, so if we
do have more GCBs in the future 5 vs 12 matchups may be the ones to
watch.
While the 8 v 9 matchups appear to be pretty close (4
wins each & separated by 3%), these stats are somewhat
misleading. The closest match we’ve ever seen from an 8 v 9 match
was Tidus v Claire, which was separated by about 7000 votes. And
as their margin of victory suggests, all these characters have
been doing is taking turns blowing each other out. Though it does
spark a little hype with them facing off against a 1 seed.
(Morrigan vs Mario, Sonic v Tidus, Cloud v Auron, too name a
few)
One other little tidbit is that Aeris is so far the only
11 seed to post victories in the entire GCB.
Phew, didn’t
realize I typed so much, anyway take a gander yourself and feel free
to comment.
|
From: Who
Cares? | Posted: 8/2/2003 1:03:12 AM | Message
Detail |
Oh, and now after reading Haste2's stats, I have
to disagree with Slowflake's dissapointment comment on Mega Man.
True we were all expecting a bigger blowout than this, but scoring
the 3rd largest blowout in GCB history & the 2nd largest this
year, only behind Link, is FAR from dissapointing. What would have
been dissapointing is if Mega Man did so poorly that it would leave
a door open for the DK/Vercetti winner, like 75% or worse. |
From: Team
Rocket Elite | Posted: 8/2/2003 1:09:40 AM | Message
Detail |
Actually it was the 4th largest in GCB history.
Number 1 and 2 were Megaman's first and second round battles last
year. Number three was Link's Round 1 battle this
year. --- "Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in
their hearts..." "All dreams are but another reality. Never
forget..." |
From: cyko
| Posted: 8/2/2003 12:25:17 PM | Message
Detail |
as promised, here's where this year's round one
finishes up:
Top 10 Vote Getters
1. Cloud
Strife- 94086 2. Link- 92998 3. Megaman- 91905 4.
Sephiroth- 90364 5. Mario- 89189 6. Crono- 88469 7. Solid
Snake- 84638 8. Samus Aran- 81123 9. Bowser- 74164 10.
Dante- 74068
Top 10 Most Pathetic Characters (Least
Votes)
1. Aiai- 8802 2. Mr. Resetti- 11400 3.
Captain Olimar- 11678 4. CATS- 14168 5. Tom Nook- 14631 6.
Raiden- 17480 7. Raziel- 19838 8. Ryo Hazuki- 21316 9.
Ratchet- 24099 10. Ness- 24627
Top 10 Blowouts (Biggest
Vote Difference)
1. Link over Aiai- 84196 2. Megaman
over Mr. Resetti- 80505 3. Cloud over Cats- 79918 4. Mario
over Captain Olimar- 77511 5. Crono over Tom Nook- 73838 6.
Sephiroth over Raziel- 70526 7. Solid Snake over Raiden-
67158 8. Samus over Isaac- 54563 9. Dante over Ryo Hazuki-
53752 10. Bowser over Ness- 49537
Top 10 Closest
Matches
1. Ganondorf over Tidus- 1582 2. Kefka over
Pac-Man- 1773 3. Master Chief over Felix- 6318 4. Max Payne
over Gordon Freeman- 7284 5. Knuckles over Yuna- 10832 6.
Kirby over Ramza- 15380 7. Squall over Jill- 19118 8. Zelda
over Lara Croft- 21701 9. KOS-MOS over Crash Bandicoot-
23631 10. Donkey Kong over Vyse- 24284
Top 10 Most
Impressive Losers
1. Tidus- 57078 2. Felix-
50231 3. Lara Croft- 49240 4. Pac-Man- 45905 5. Yuna-
45531 6. Ramza- 42482 7. Gordon Freeman- 41997 8. Scorpion-
41916 9. Tails- 38685 10. Jill Valentine- 38274
Top
10 Least Impressive Winners
1. Kefka- 47678 2. Max
Payne- 49281 3. Knuckles- 56363 4. Master Chief- 56549 5.
Squall- 57392 6. Kirby 57862 7. Ganondorf- 58660 8. Magus-
60598 9. Donkey Kong- 61027 10. KOS-MOS- 61141
Top
10 Biggest Vote Totals
1. Tidus vs. Ganondorf-
115738 2. Lara Croft vs. Zelda- 113881 3. Zero vs. Scorpion-
112801 4. Sephiroth vs. Raziel- 110202 5. Auron vs. Tails-
108884 6. Cloud vs. CATS- 108254 7. Samus vs. Isaac-
107683 8. Master Chief vs. Felix- 106780 9. Sonic vs. Ken-
106630 10. Wario vs. Shadow the Hedgehog- 104607
Top 10
Smallest Vote Totals
1. Gordon Freeman vs. Max Payne-
91278 2. Sam Fisher vs. Magus- 91464 3. Yoshi vs. Conker-
92418 4. Pac-Man vs. Kefka- 93583 5. Luigi vs. Ratchet-
94649 6. Dante vs. Ryo Hazuki- 95384 7. Squall vs. Jill
Valentine- 95666 8. Ryu vs. Duke Nukem- 96408 9. Donkey Kong
vs. Vyse- 97770 10. Sora vs. Aeris- 97810
Top 10
Easiest Matches to Pick (Based on Number of Correct Contest
Entries)
1. Link vs. Aiai- 99.1% 2. Mario vs. Captain
Olimar- 98.0% 3. Megaman vs. Mr. Resetti- 95.6% 4. Cloud vs.
CATS- 94.9% 5. Sephiroth vs. Raziel- 93.9% 6. Samus vs. Isaac-
93.8% 7. Crono vs. Tom Nook- 92.8% 8. Solid Snake vs. Raiden-
92.6% 9. Luigi vs. Ratchet- 87.9% 10. Donkey Kong vs. Vyse-
87.7%
Top 10 Hardest Matches to Pick
1. Wario
vs. Shadow the Hedgehog- 42.1% 2. KOS-MOS vs. Crash Bandicoot-
42.5% 3. Pac-Man vs. Kefka- 43.5% 4. Zero vs. Scorpion-
47.3% 5. Tidus vs. Ganondorf- 47.7% 6. Knuckles vs. Yuna-
50.2% 7. Sam Fisher vs. Magus- 56.9% 8. Pikachu vs. Fox
McCloud- 57.4% 9. Auron vs. Tails- 60.7% 10. Lara Croft vs.
Zelda- 61.7%
and i end round one at 29/32 thanks to Yuna,
Wario, and Pikachu (>_< why didn't i get around to changing
that one like i wanted to?).
--- Currently a fan of
these Summer2K3 characters: Magus, Cloud, Zero, Bowser,
Kefka, Sephiroth and Mr. Resetti |
From: Slowflake
| Posted: 8/2/2003 12:33:28 PM | Message
Detail |
Do you want those percentage predictions
entered in the Oracle Challenge?
No thanks... if I wanted
to enter, I'd put more precise percentages. I just wanted to give an
approximative idea of how I thought the matches would turn out.
Though I seemed spot on with today's match... could it be
Sephiroth/Raziel all over again?
My god, this is my 57th post
on this topic. My active messages will take a nosedive when this is
purged...
(Off-topic: My brother rented Wind Waker today, and
it looks awesome. No kidding.) --- Summer 2003 Contest:
Slowflake (CAN) . . . . . 30/32, 0 lost . . . . . T-68
(284-way) Today's pick: Link over Fox |
From: Mastermind2k
| Posted: 8/2/2003 12:59:16 PM | Message
Detail |
Hey solar, I hope it's okay I linked to you from
my site.
Keep up the good
work! --- http://www.angelfire.com/games5/gamecom -
Bomberman vs Master Chief |
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