| FULL STATS - Summer 2002 Contest
(Updated Nightly) |
| | Page 8 of 9 | | |
| From: jayman951
| Posted: 9/1/2002 11:57:27 PM | Message
Detail
|
Well, 151 is great. I hope CjayC puts the name
up of the people that had Link winning the contest. They diserve
some recognition. And a Top Score list for like the top 100 would be
cool, Im in it i hope.
---
THE GREAT LINK WINS Record:
52-11 (151 pts)
Proud Member of The Hylian Knights
|
| From: solarshadow
| Posted: 9/2/2002 12:18:39 AM | Message
Detail
|
Tonight's Results:
1 - Mario (6:1)
- 36796 / 37.47% (98211)
2 - Link (9:1) - 61415
/ 62.53% (98211) - 2140 / 12.8%
Updated
Lists:
Top 10 Most Popular Polls (by vote
totals)
1) (iv) Mario vs. Cloud Strife - 129703
2)
(v) Mario vs. Crono - 107547
3) (v) Link vs. Sephiroth -
102870
4) (iv) Crono vs. Solid Snake - 99214
5)
(vi) Mario vs. Link - 98211
6) (iii) Mega Man vs.
Sephiroth - 97357
7) (iv) Samus Aran vs. Sephiroth -
97224
8) (iv) Scorpion vs. Link - 91535
9) (iii)
Jill Valentine vs. Link - 85273
10) (iii) Sonic the
Hedgehog vs. Samus Aran - 83912
Top 10 Biggest
Vote Getters
1) (iv) Link - 69544
2) (iv) Mario
- 64990
3) (iv) Cloud Strife - 64713
4) Mega Man
- 63039
5) (iii) Link - 61931
6) (vi) Link -
61415
7) Sephiroth - 61367
8) (ii) Mega Man -
60914
9) (ii) Cloud Strife - 59926
10) Link -
59509
Top 10 Most Impressive Losers (by
votes)
1) (iv) Cloud Strife - 64713
2) (v) Crono -
53716
3) (iii) Mega Man - 48185
4) (iv) Solid
Snake - 46697
5) (iv) Samus Aran - 46047
6) (v)
Sephiroth - 44597
7) (iii) Sonic the Hedgehog -
41939
8) (vi) Mario - 36796
9) Kirby -
32837
10) (iii) Aeris - 32702
Top 10
Most Even Matches (based on the odds, ratio in italics)
1) (v) Link (9:1) vs. Sephiroth (9:1) - 1.0
2)
(ii) Crono (33:1) vs. Dante (36:1) - 1.1
3) Ryo Hazuki
(250:1) vs. Guybrush Threepwood (300:1) - 1.2
3)
Bomberman (250:1) vs. Kane (300:1) - 1.2
5) Terry Bogard
(200:1) vs. Aya Brea (250:1) - 1.3
6) (iii) Samus Aran
(36:1) vs. Sonic the Hedgehog (45:1) - 1.3
7) (ii) Jill
Valentine (180:1) vs. Bomberman (250:1) - 1.4
8) (vi)
Mario (6:1) vs. Link (9:1) - 1.5
9) (iii) Crono (33:1)
vs. Lara Croft (50:1) - 1.5
10) (ii) Samus Aran (36:1)
vs. Ryu (55:1) - 1.5
Top 10 Hardest Matches to
Predict (based on percentage of contest entrants choosing the
winner)
1) (vi) Mario vs. Link 12.8%
2) (iv)
Crono 14.6% vs. Solid Snake
3) (iii) Pac-Man vs.
Scorpion 17.3%
4) (ii) Alucard 28.8% vs. Duke
Nukem
5) (v) Link 30.6% vs. Sephiroth
6) (v) Mario
31.0% vs. Crono
7) (iii) Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Samus Aran
31.8%
8) (ii) Bomberman vs. Jill Valentine 32.5%
9)
(iii) Lara Croft vs. Crono 33.1%
10) (ii) Scorpion
33.6% vs. Max Payne
---
Full Contest Stats:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com |
| From: Jjukil
| Posted: 9/2/2002 12:28:07 AM | Message
Detail
|
One last time, eh, Solar? =)
Tonight's
pick for most interesting stat is:
Top 10 Most Impressive
Losers (by votes)
8) (vi) Mario - 36796
Makes him look
pretty substandard for a finalist. =P That little VI note is very
important.
Looks like your work is just about done. Good luck
polishing off the site during all of tonight's craziness. *tries
vainly to update his
own*
---
http://members.aol.com/Jjukil
The Great
Gamefaqs Character Battle: A Look Back (Latest Update: 9-1-02) |
| From: NeoElfboy
| Posted: 9/2/2002 12:37:45 AM | Message
Detail
|
Yes, it's surprising that Mario was such a
comparatively unimpressive loser. The second least impressive loser
of the final nine matches...
Another pick for interesting
stat is the total number of votes. Rather low for the final, I'd
say. Should we blame the fact that the final was Nintendo/Nintendo,
and hence anti-climactic to many, for the fact that it fell over
30,000 votes shy of the record Mario/Cloud? Or should we blame the
fact that it was never even close? Maybe a bit of both.
And a
third amusing note... Link's championship-winning vote total fell
several thousand short of Cloud's final blaze of glory. The Hylian
couldn't match the SOLDIER reject's vote total against the man in
red, yet he succeeded where Cloud did not (and handilly, at that).
That's quite surprising.
Of course, it's only fitting that
Link still rules that Top Ten list, thanks to the Scorpion
match.
~NeoElfboy
---
"Sometimes I think your massive
intelligence penalties are so immense that they fold in upon
themselves and transform into stat bonuses!"
-RM
<VetSCCer> |
| From: solarshadow
| Posted: 9/2/2002 12:55:22 AM | Message
Detail
|
I blame both of those reasons for the low vote
total. Probably the first more than the second though. Not
sure.
The most interesting stat to me was this
one:
Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1) (vi) Mario
vs. Link 12.8%
I really didn't think it would be that
low. More than half of the people that had Link getting to the final
thought he would lose. I expected more of those would be riding Link
all the way. Maybe the rest had him losing to Mario. That was
probably the biggest chunk.
The website is partially updated.
Still some stuff like the Contest Averages and a reformatted
Complete Full Lists section to polish off. So look for those updates
over the next little while. Also, last chance to vote in the third
place poll. I'll be closing it shortly (but what will I put in its
place?).
---
Full Contest Stats:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com |
| From: King
Morgoth | Posted: 9/2/2002 1:05:21 AM | Message
Detail
|
Hey Solar! I've finally completed the Tournament
Final report, go take a look if you have some
time.
http://www.geocities.com/kingmorgoth/summercontest/index.html
Feel
free to take some of the files to put them on your site or link to
my site from yours, so that the people who could be interested can
see this.
I don't know if I'll come back to this board
tomorrow (probably but I'm not sure) and I'm going to sleep soon so,
to whomever I've met here (I won't start naming everyone because I'm
sure I would forget someone :/), it's been nice to talk to you guys
and I hope we'll meet again someday.......maybe when CJayC stops
having nightmares! ;)
Have a good time until
then,
King Morgoth
---
"Everything gold does not
glitter
Not all those who wander are lost" |
| From: javajim
| Posted: 9/2/2002 1:35:00 AM | Message
Detail
|
| Solarshadow, congratulations on keeping up with
all the stats. There was a lot of work involved, and I'm sure it's
appreciated by many. Best Regards! J |
| From: Haste2
| Posted: 9/2/2002 1:35:44 AM | Message
Detail
|
I'll just give some awards that aren't really
based on statistics...well, some of them are.
Biggest
surprise: Crono
Most disappointing: Er...Ryu?
Easiest bracket:
South Division
Most difficult bracket: West Division
Least
popular character for how far they got: Scorpion
Biggest Blowout:
Mega Man
2nd Biggest Blowout: Mega Man ;)
Closest match: Samus
vs. Sonic
2nd Closest match: Mario vs. Cloud
Biggest score
screwer: Solid Snake vs. Crono
---
"PokéTail, I choose
you!"
</television censor> |
| From: solarshadow
| Posted: 9/2/2002 2:14:14 AM | Message
Detail
|
Oops, forgot to update the Combined Top 10 Lists
for the final time. Well, they've been updated now. Still more
updates to come (these full lists are taking
forever).
javajim: Thanks man, I really appreciate it.
And thanks for supporting my topic and for your suggestions. I'm
glad you enjoyed the stats. :)
---
Full Contest Stats:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com |
| From: solarshadow
| Posted: 9/2/2002 4:06:53 AM | Message
Detail
|
Well, the Complete Full Lists have been
completely reformatted (a monumental undertaking, I assure you).
Which leaves me with no energy left to update the contest averages.
So that will have to wait for tomorrow (something to look forward
to). And I don't think anyone's still around, so I'm probably just
talking to myself anyway. :)
King Morgoth: Those graphs are
amazing. I dub thee deputy stats freak. ;) I'll be sure to put some
of that stuff on my site and also link to yours when I update
tomorrow. Very cool.
---
Full Contest Stats:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com |
| From: Chuckobo
| Posted: 9/2/2002 4:08:54 AM | Message
Detail
|
well... i guess that was a pretty sweet
contest
finished with 60 points... lol
---
"What I
have shown you is the reality... What you remember, that is the
illusion..." - Sephiroth, FF7 |
| From: Samberdog
| Posted: 9/2/2002 10:30:56 AM | Message
Detail
|
Well, it's over. It's really too bad the final
couldn't have been closer, but it seems from what people were saying
on the board that Link benefited from most of the anti-Nintendo and
Squaresoft votes.
Still though, we shouldn't discredit Link.
He really did deserve this win. He blazed past all his competition
and barely flinched in his matched against Sephiroth. He had the
highest vote count of the tournament. His path to the win was as
spectacular as could be. Link had a lot of things going for him, he
stars in and extremely popular and (IMO) the best series to grace
videogames. He's both old and new-school. He's a bad ass with his
sword and shield, but also a true, chivalrous hero. It's really not
surprising that he won, when you think about it. I thought the final
match was going to be even harder to predict. It's amazing that 13%
chose Link to win it all. I wonder how many chose each character to
take it.
Although I had it in my bracket, a Nintendo/Nintendo
bracket really was an accomplishment on this site. Early in this
contest, Square characters were smacking everyone around. I am glad
it happened though, and the picture for the matchup says
why.
---
I've been SHINE GOTTEN !!
Shine
Count: 55 |
| From: solarshadow
| Posted: 9/2/2002 4:31:22 PM | Message
Detail
|
Contest Averages are posted. I'm thinking about
reformatting it somehow to make it easier to read, and I still need
to do a little more error checking, but it's up. I found one minor
mistake: I forgot to include the total votes from the Duke/Iori
match in one of the stats. That's been fixed. It also means that
everytime I've posted the amount of total votes cast in the contest,
it's been off by 52874. Oops. :) So, the grand total number of votes
cast during the entire contest is 4,306,208. That's a
lot.
-CONTEST AVERAGES-
Average Number of Votes
Received By The Winning Character
First Round Avg -
41682 - 69.2%
Second Round Avg - 43440 - 67.6%
Third Round
Avg - 48971 - 62.9%
Fourth Round Avg - 59557 - 57.0%
Fifth
Round Avg - 56052 - 53.3%
Sixth Round Avg - 61415 - 62.5%
Overall Avg - 44959 - 65.8%
Average Number
of Votes Received By The Losing Character
First Round
Avg - 18590 - 30.8%
Second Round Avg - 20852 - 32.4%
Third
Round Avg - 28845 - 37.1%
Fourth Round Avg - 44862 - 43.0%
Fifth Round Avg - 49157 - 46.7%
Sixth Round Avg - 36796 -
37.5%
Overall Avg - 23394 - 34.2%
Average
Number of Total Votes Per Match
First Round Avg - 60272
Second Round Avg - 64292
Third Round Avg - 77816
Fourth
Round Avg - 104419
Fifth Round Avg - 105209
Sixth Round Avg
- 98211
Overall Avg - 68353
Average Win
Margin
First Round Avg - 23092 - 38.3%
Second Round
Avg - 22588 - 35.2%
Third Round Avg - 20126 - 27.6%
Fourth
Round Avg - 14695 - 15.9%
Fifth Round Avg - 6895 - 6.6%
Sixth Round Avg - 24619 - 25.1%
Overall Avg - 21565 -
31.5%
Average Number of Contest Entrants
Predicting Each Match Correctly (out of 16764 total entrants)
First Round Avg - 12440 - 74.2%
Second Round Avg - 10446
- 62.3%
Third Round Avg - 8391 - 50.1%
Fourth Round Avg -
6463 - 38.6%
Fifth Round Avg - 5163 - 30.8%
Sixth Round Avg
- 2140 - 12.8%
Overall Avg - 10645 - 63.5%
Average Number of Points Earned by Contest
Entrants (out of 32 possible points per round, 192 total)
First Round - 23.74
Second Round - 19.94
Third Round
- 16.01
Fourth Round - 12.34
Fifth Round - 9.85
Sixth
Round - 4.08
Total - 85.96
---
Full Contest
Stats: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com |
| From: Zhirrzh
| Posted: 9/2/2002 6:10:41 PM | Message
Detail
|
| Average was only 85.96, eh? Makes me feel way
better. I was in a averageish zone for most of the contest due to
not thinking Scorpion would get past round 1 and not thinking as
highly of Crono and Snake as I should (I love Square and yet hated
silent boy, and it warped my judgment :) ). But Link coming through
and the other finalist being Mario bumped me to 152, so not so bad
in the end. These stats are great are for making me feel smarter
:) |
| From: EBFan2000
| Posted: 9/3/2002 12:39:00 PM | Message
Detail
|
| solarshadow, I commend you for the work that
you've done. |
| From: solarshadow
| Posted: 9/3/2002 1:21:11 PM | Message
Detail
|
Okay, I'm trying to put the contest averages
into a happier format, but I can't decide how I want to do it. I'm
not sure if anyone is still reading this topic, but if you are check
out this link and tell me whether you like the first chart or the
second chart better (or the old chart, if you don't like the new
ones): http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/avg0.html
I'll work
on something else for awhile in case I actually get some replies.
:)
---
Full Contest Stats:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com |
| From: King
Morgoth | Posted: 9/3/2002 3:41:34 PM | Message
Detail
|
Don't worry, we're still reading your posts
Solar! ;)
About your contest averages, I like the first
format better, but I think it'd look better if you would italicize
the percentages.
Keep up the good work!
---
"Everything
gold does not glitter
Not all those who wander are lost" |
| From: Samberdog
| Posted: 9/3/2002 4:41:12 PM | Message
Detail
|
Don't worry solar, I'm still reading too. Now
that schools started though, I can't spend as much time on these
boards.
Website still looks great! It's good to see that
you're still working to complete all the stats. A less dedicated
person would have stopped.
I hope they don't close the board
for a while longer. I'm scared I'll just log on one day and all of
this will be gone. :(
---
I've been SHINE GOTTEN
!!
Shine Count: 67 |
| From: Bananaquest
| Posted: 9/3/2002 4:58:41 PM | Message
Detail
|
Your friendly neighbor Bananaquest has not
abandoned you yet, solarshadow. I still enjoy read them since the
beginning. Keep the number-crunching going. Also, your website is
great as ever.
By the way, which boards are you migrating to in
the event this board goes 'bye-bye'?
---
Bananaquest:
"There is life after the Summer 2002 Contest. Right?" |
Crono: "....."
PRESS PLAY ON TAPE (Commodore 64 C2N
Cassette Unit) |
| From: King
Morgoth | Posted: 9/3/2002 5:06:47 PM | Message
Detail
|
Hey Solar!
I've tried something for the
average
page
http://www.geocities.com/kingmorgoth/summercontest/average.html
I
don't know if you'll like it but if you do you could make a few of
the stats on this model (it probably wouldn't fit them
all)
---
"Everything gold does not glitter
Not all those
who wander are lost" |
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