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00:00 | Castlevania | 00000 | 00.00% | Kingdom Hearts | 00000 | 00.00%
From: Ngamer64
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:54:04 PM | Message Detail
The proud tradition continues!
Castlevania VS Kingdom Hearts
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Ngamer Prediction: Castlevania with 51%
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"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
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Castlevania VS Kingdom Hearts
Automatic Match Updates: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2444
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creative's auto updater kicks in a couple minutes after the new match comes online, remember.
Ngamer Prediction: Castlevania with 51%
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"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Draco1214
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:54:25 PM | Message Detail
Kingdom Hearts with 52%
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
From: Adept of Aiur
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:54:32 PM | Message Detail
Check the guru topic NGamer.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
From: stingers135
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:54:47 PM | Message Detail
I CAN UPDATE TODAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I have Kingdom Hearts with 52 something Percent
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Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
I have Kingdom Hearts with 52 something Percent
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Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
From: WarThaNemesis
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:55:02 PM | Message Detail
Castlevania with 55%
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War, not ExTha
Goblin Rofflecopter of the Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
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War, not ExTha
Goblin Rofflecopter of the Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
From: Shadow Wyvern
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:55:03 PM | Message Detail
Kingdom Hearts with 60% of the vote.
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When we name everything and seek to see the world as one thing alone, there is a danger that we rob it of something perhaps more important than anything else.
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When we name everything and seek to see the world as one thing alone, there is a danger that we rob it of something perhaps more important than anything else.
From: rains of destruction
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:55:44 PM | Message Detail
Kingdom Hearts with 58%
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I prefer to be called Vorlik.
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I prefer to be called Vorlik.
From: FlamboyantSpy
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:56:10 PM | Message Detail
lol more like cv 1 billion kh nothing m i rite
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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids
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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids
From: Ngamer64
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:56:59 PM | Message Detail
Reasoning:
lolx tells me
Alucard (2005c) VS Sora (2005c)
Sora wins with 55.35% of the vote!
Which was actually a direct result, so there's no doubting that it's accurate. But I'm not happy with Alucard's pic for that match, and it certainly seems that Castle > SotN > Alucard, and pretty easily, whereas Sora seems a better representation for KH (they performed alike against Harvest Moon and Agent 47, both expected to be very low fodder).
But what convinces me is a certain other direct matchup, namely the one from 2004 where I told myself "Sure, this game just beat the best that the Xbox fanbase has to offer, but now it's going up against Square, the King of GameFAQs! No way its Cinderella run continues from here out."
Fool me twice, shame on me.
Castlevania with 50.89%
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"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
lolx tells me
Alucard (2005c) VS Sora (2005c)
Sora wins with 55.35% of the vote!
Which was actually a direct result, so there's no doubting that it's accurate. But I'm not happy with Alucard's pic for that match, and it certainly seems that Castle > SotN > Alucard, and pretty easily, whereas Sora seems a better representation for KH (they performed alike against Harvest Moon and Agent 47, both expected to be very low fodder).
But what convinces me is a certain other direct matchup, namely the one from 2004 where I told myself "Sure, this game just beat the best that the Xbox fanbase has to offer, but now it's going up against Square, the King of GameFAQs! No way its Cinderella run continues from here out."
Fool me twice, shame on me.
Castlevania with 50.89%
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"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Unclm311
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:58:46 PM | Message Detail
I'm gonna be really pissed if castlevania wins. Those games are extremely lame. Kingdom Hearts is amazing, those people who just don't like it cause it has disney characters are missing out.
From: LiquidAssault
| Posted: 7/20/2006 9:59:09 PM | Message Detail
Kingdom Hearts with 65%
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Does it have to be one or the other - love or hate? - Naked Snake
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Does it have to be one or the other - love or hate? - Naked Snake
From: RaidenZeroX
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:02:08 PM | Message Detail
Hopefully if Kingdom Hearts wins a bunch of the perfects and other 21s will drop.
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While one star burns brightly, another fades away
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While one star burns brightly, another fades away
From: smoky progg
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:02:40 PM | Message Detail
^
More will drop with a CV win...
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Summer contest 2006 Current score: 22/22
Today: Kingdom Hearts vs. Castlevania
More will drop with a CV win...
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Summer contest 2006 Current score: 22/22
Today: Kingdom Hearts vs. Castlevania
From: RafNasty
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:03:08 PM | Message Detail
KH with 61% Book It.
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Mess with the Best...
Die Like the Rest.
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Mess with the Best...
Die Like the Rest.
From: stingers135
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:03:14 PM | Message Detail
From smoky progg | Posted 7/21/2006 12:02:40 AM | #013
^
More will drop with a CV win...
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Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
^
More will drop with a CV win...
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Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
From: ESP Samus
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:03:46 PM | Message Detail
Castlevania better win or Gamefaqs users just failed.
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Mario Kart DS
Name: Vlad Friendcode 098853-034772
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Mario Kart DS
Name: Vlad Friendcode 098853-034772
From: WaterMario222
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:04:01 PM | Message Detail
If Kingdom Hearts wins, most perfects won't drop anyhow.
From: Kazer7
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:04:49 PM | Message Detail
Wow, I have to give Castlevania some credit.
I expected this to be a pretty solid 60-40 for Kingdom Hearts, but it's been a lot closer.
I expected this to be a pretty solid 60-40 for Kingdom Hearts, but it's been a lot closer.
From: KingBrolly
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:06:13 PM | Message Detail
This is gonna be a barn-burner, or an upset. Castlevania is now within 12 votes, although still early.
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Greatest Series Contest: 18/19, 21 points
SC2k5: Top 100
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Greatest Series Contest: 18/19, 21 points
SC2k5: Top 100
From: Wanglicious
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:11:46 PM | Message Detail
Oh ye of little faith of CV...
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Head Lawyer for Sir Chris' Police Veggie Tales: The one thing that religion has done that grows no hate. That, and wine.
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Head Lawyer for Sir Chris' Police Veggie Tales: The one thing that religion has done that grows no hate. That, and wine.
From: Ngamer64
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:14:02 PM | Message Detail
Bury it CV! BURY IT!
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"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
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"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: RaidenZeroX
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:15:07 PM | Message Detail
I have KH, so that doesn't help me if CV ends up winning. Still, I do think it's the better series.
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While one star burns brightly, another fades away
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While one star burns brightly, another fades away
From: stingers135
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:16:14 PM | Message Detail
00:15 | Castlevania | 02122 | +2037 | 50.06% | Kingdom Hearts | 02117 | +2018 | 49.94% | Lead of 0005 | (Up 19)
"Updates Left: 95
Votes per update needed for Kingdom Hearts to catch up: 0.053
Castlevania's % last update: 50.23%%
Total Votes so far: 4239"
FIVE VOTES?! FIVE VOTES?!
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Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
"Updates Left: 95
Votes per update needed for Kingdom Hearts to catch up: 0.053
Castlevania's % last update: 50.23%%
Total Votes so far: 4239"
FIVE VOTES?! FIVE VOTES?!
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Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
From: Ngamer64
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:19:05 PM | Message Detail
REMINDER: Although it looked good during the day against Halo, CV probably needs to build at least something of a lead during the night here, as KH is possibly the site's largest Day Vote powerhouse (compared to how bad its done early in polls).
*points to Ansem VS CATS*
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"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
*points to Ansem VS CATS*
---
"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: AHNpg11
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:22:09 PM | Message Detail
Castlevania 50.01% 2730
Kindgom Hearts 49.99% 2729
dot. dot. dot.
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Kindgom Hearts 49.99% 2729
dot. dot. dot.
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From: WarThaNemesis
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:22:16 PM | Message Detail
Ngamer. Halo is THE day vote powerhouse. If CV can beat Halo during the day, there's no way KH's dayvote is going to outdo it. Who cares if KH day >>> KH night if CV day > Halo day?
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War, not ExTha
Goblin Rofflecopter of the Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
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War, not ExTha
Goblin Rofflecopter of the Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
From: greatone10
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:23:03 PM | Message Detail
KH's day vote was considered crappy until Sora vs. Alucard.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
"I set my ATM card's number to "0001" because I'm number one!" - Manfred von Karma
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
"I set my ATM card's number to "0001" because I'm number one!" - Manfred von Karma
From: stingers135
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:23:04 PM | Message Detail
Halo = Magus
Seriously. The only reason it won the Day Vote before is because the Poll was put up on other sites. I couldn't find any major Halo Fan Sites with a Link to the poll.
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Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
Seriously. The only reason it won the Day Vote before is because the Poll was put up on other sites. I couldn't find any major Halo Fan Sites with a Link to the poll.
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Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
From: lordjers
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:23:10 PM | Message Detail
REMINDER: Although it looked good during the day against Halo, CV probably needs to build at least something of a lead during the night here, as KH is possibly the site's largest Day Vote powerhouse (compared to how bad its done early in polls).
*points to Ansem VS CATS*
But that's cause CATS has an almost non-existing day vote.
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It takes a big man to cry, but a bigger man to laugh at that man. - RPGMatt
*points to Ansem VS CATS*
But that's cause CATS has an almost non-existing day vote.
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It takes a big man to cry, but a bigger man to laugh at that man. - RPGMatt
From: Rad Link 5
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:23:21 PM | Message Detail
One vote... jeez.
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"You can't leave GameFAQs. It's like an abusive marriage." -FAHtastic to Ryoko and Miaow
Detective in Sir Chris' Police
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"You can't leave GameFAQs. It's like an abusive marriage." -FAHtastic to Ryoko and Miaow
Detective in Sir Chris' Police
From: stingers135
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:31:39 PM | Message Detail
00:15 | Castlevania | 02122 | +2037 | 50.06% | Kingdom Hearts | 02117 | +2018 | 49.94% | Lead of 0005 | (Up 19)
00:30 | Castlevania | 03863 | +1741 | 50.22% | Kingdom Hearts | 03829 | +1712 | 49.78% | Lead of 0034 | (Up 29)
"Updates Left: 94
Votes per update needed for Kingdom Hearts to catch up: 0.362
Castlevania's % last update: 50.42%%
Total Votes so far: 7692"
That soooooooo wasn't Legit.
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Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
00:30 | Castlevania | 03863 | +1741 | 50.22% | Kingdom Hearts | 03829 | +1712 | 49.78% | Lead of 0034 | (Up 29)
"Updates Left: 94
Votes per update needed for Kingdom Hearts to catch up: 0.362
Castlevania's % last update: 50.42%%
Total Votes so far: 7692"
That soooooooo wasn't Legit.
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Goblin God of Sexiness of The Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
Owner of Wilhelm on the Xenosaga 3 Board. Rawr.
From: Typhoid Larry
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:32:06 PM | Message Detail
Holy...
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Best. Series. Ever. Score: 5/5
Prediction: Fire Emblem vs Silent Hill
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Best. Series. Ever. Score: 5/5
Prediction: Fire Emblem vs Silent Hill
From: The n00b Avenger
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:33:42 PM | Message Detail
If CV can beat Halo during the day, there's no way KH's dayvote is going to outdo it.
CV lost percentage against Halo in the day.
Obviously if that happens here when they're tied, Castlevania loses
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
CV lost percentage against Halo in the day.
Obviously if that happens here when they're tied, Castlevania loses
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: AHNpg11
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:34:40 PM | Message Detail
...mumble mumble mumble percentages mean nothing mumble mumble.
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From: Kadou
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:34:52 PM | Message Detail
WTF @ this poll.
How much of a lead was Kingdom Hearts in before CV struck back?
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Anywhere can be Heaven as long as you have the will to live.
Best. Series. Ever. Bracket - 22/22, #4
How much of a lead was Kingdom Hearts in before CV struck back?
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Anywhere can be Heaven as long as you have the will to live.
Best. Series. Ever. Bracket - 22/22, #4
From: RaidenZeroX
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:34:57 PM | Message Detail
What wasn't legit?
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While one star burns brightly, another fades away
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While one star burns brightly, another fades away
From: The n00b Avenger
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:37:42 PM | Message Detail
...mumble mumble mumble percentages mean nothing mumble mumble.
It does when it comes to measuring momentum patterns between day and night
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
It does when it comes to measuring momentum patterns between day and night
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: AHNpg11
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:40:11 PM | Message Detail
The momentum pattern may change according to the percents. whether it actually means that the voting swings to cut into the leader's advantage is another thing.
but point well taken.
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but point well taken.
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From: The n00b Avenger
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:42:14 PM | Message Detail
Well it ALWAYS cuts into their "advantage." Losing percentage means you're doing comparitively worse than you were doing earlier.
Obviously if you do "worse" than going 50-50, then you lose.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Obviously if you do "worse" than going 50-50, then you lose.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: AHNpg11
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:45:23 PM | Message Detail
But you can be losing percent, and still be gaining advantage in votes. so a drop from, say, 56 percent to 52 doesn't necessarily mean that the winner is losing the lead. A drop from 50 to 48 percent does. Big difference.
From: The n00b Avenger
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:49:47 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: The n00b Avenger
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:50:27 PM | Message Detail
No, there's no a big difference. It just means that the advantage they had earlier was big enough to offset the drop in momentum and still gain votes, albeit at a signifincantly reduced pace.
The only difference is how big of the advantage they start with. Castlevania went from getting 58% of the votes within an early time frame to as low as 54% in a later time frame. in the end if ended with about 55%. Now, it was in no trouble because it started out high. Had it not been as powerful earlier and started at 54%, we would have had a very interesting match. The fact that it didn't lose enough momentum to lose votes means nothing for the purpose of data analysis.
And of course, by judging its loss of momentum against Halo in the day, we can apply these patterns to other matches as well. If Kingdom Hearts is similar to Halo with the day vote, then Castlevania is quite simply in alot of trouble.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
The only difference is how big of the advantage they start with. Castlevania went from getting 58% of the votes within an early time frame to as low as 54% in a later time frame. in the end if ended with about 55%. Now, it was in no trouble because it started out high. Had it not been as powerful earlier and started at 54%, we would have had a very interesting match. The fact that it didn't lose enough momentum to lose votes means nothing for the purpose of data analysis.
And of course, by judging its loss of momentum against Halo in the day, we can apply these patterns to other matches as well. If Kingdom Hearts is similar to Halo with the day vote, then Castlevania is quite simply in alot of trouble.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
From: WarThaNemesis
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:51:41 PM | Message Detail
CV didn't lose the day vote to Halo. It lost percentage, but it gained votes. If KH day vote = Halo day votes (which it is weaker than), it won't win updates, thus meaning that it loses.
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War, not ExTha
Goblin Rofflecopter of the Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
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War, not ExTha
Goblin Rofflecopter of the Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
From: RafNasty
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:51:49 PM | Message Detail
ah 38 no!
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Mess with the Best...
Die Like the Rest.
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Mess with the Best...
Die Like the Rest.
From: Zeekade
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:52:05 PM | Message Detail
I put CV as the winner and I'm not worried. Castlevania continued to gain its lead above Halo during the morning and day, and I think it will do the same here. If (when) its lead is above 4000, you can call it a match.
From: transience
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:52:19 PM | Message Detail
but if Castlevania loses any percentage here, it's going to be losing votes.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
From: ShakeDaddy
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:53:28 PM | Message Detail
Castlevania better win or Gamefaqs users just failed.
Ditto.
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- ShakeDaddy
Currently studying abroad in Tenri, Japan
Ditto.
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- ShakeDaddy
Currently studying abroad in Tenri, Japan
From: WarThaNemesis
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:54:21 PM | Message Detail
So are you trying to argue that Kingdom Hearts has a stronger day vote than Halo? If CV put up 54% of the day vote against Halo, the day vote will INCREASE CV's %. KH day vote needs to be significantly stronger than Halo's in order to beat CV.
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War, not ExTha
Goblin Rofflecopter of the Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
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War, not ExTha
Goblin Rofflecopter of the Goblin Army of OPPRESSION
From: AHNpg11
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:54:52 PM | Message Detail
possibly. we'll see.
castlevania, even while losing percentage, never had halo really cut into its lead even during the day. If anything, halo stalled at best, votewise, which still brought castlevania's percentage down, as tends to happen to the leader when things are split about 50/50.
I understand what you're getting at with the momentum, though. but lowering the percentage is all moot unless the contestant behind also starts to cut into the vote gap.
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castlevania, even while losing percentage, never had halo really cut into its lead even during the day. If anything, halo stalled at best, votewise, which still brought castlevania's percentage down, as tends to happen to the leader when things are split about 50/50.
I understand what you're getting at with the momentum, though. but lowering the percentage is all moot unless the contestant behind also starts to cut into the vote gap.
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From: AHNpg11
| Posted: 7/20/2006 10:55:54 PM | Message Detail
and that last post was continuing the discussion with noob avenger.
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